Is there a problem with the buff program?
This isn't another post saying all buffs are bad, or necessarily a complaint about Guilly's buff. It's more of a look into the philosophy of how Kabam are deciding which level of buff to give to champions.
I think the issue with this months buff is what level of update they chose for Guilly. I still stand by my comment that this overhaul could have been made good if the abilities had made her better, but I now think it was just an unnecessary risk.
Aside from Hood (which I'm inclined to believe was a one-off) Moderate and Tune ups have never made a champion worse in a significant area. Even Nova, widely considered as the worst buff of the program, didn't make him worse it just took him from a 4/10 champion to a 4.1/10 champion. The only case I think that can be made is Bishop no longer having power gain on block. But in the grand scheme of things that wasn't why people ranked him up, it was a nice to have ability.
So this means that moderate and tune up buffs have almost no risk to them. If you take a champion with a few decent abilities and give them a moderate or tune up buff there is almost 0 chance of them being made worse in any area. But when we have an overhaul, there is a much greater license for Kabam to change or alter abilities because... well, that's the point of them.
The issue therefore, is when Kabam select a champion for an overhaul that could do with just a moderate update. I don't think this has ever happened before, if you look through the list of previous overhauls none of them have been really that useful, or conducive to a moderate. We've even had it the other way around, when champions could have been up for an overhaul, but have been made much better with just a moderate, look at Yellowjacket or Ultron. They could easily have had an overhaul, but didn't. And I think that's a good thing.
But with Guilly, her heal, Sp3 and heal reversal were actually good abilities, they just didn't quite come together in the best way without full synergy teams, and she needed that last little bump of utility. If you ask me, that sounds like the perfect description of a moderate, or even a tune up update.
When Guilly was chosen for an overhaul, a lot of people saw this problem. She already had good abilities to build from, why should you waste an overhaul space with her? Ant Man has way less abilities. But I don't think anyone saw why it was a problem, or at least the underlying, more sinister reason. Because she had more abilities, Kabam had a much greater risk when overhauling her to make her just as good, if not worse. If Kabam overhauled Ant Man, seriously, how could they make him worse? He has no abilities to remove! And that, I think is my overall point.
Overhaul champions should be champions with the absolute bare minimum. Cap Marvel OG, Cap WW2, Deadpool X Force etc. Champions that cannot get good, useful abilities removed. Not champions like Domino, Ronan or Loki. Who have good, useful abilities but just need a little bump.
So where is this issue coming from? I think I know. I've compiled a (subjective) list of the remaining champions who need buffs and which level I would personally give them. Now, I know it would vary person to person, but I think we can agree on general numbers plus or minus a few. But I came up with 26 champions needing tune-ups, 28 needing moderate updates and 42 needing overhauls. Feel free to do your own and compare numbers to mine, and if anyone is more interested in what I think, feel free to ask, I can post it below.
However, in their most recent cadence update post, Kabam said: "We’ll continue to update 2 Champions per month until we come to the point where we have worked through our Moderate/Value only Champions and will need to reassess when there are only overhauls to be finished." Implying there are more overhauls than the tune ups and moderates put together. (With an overhaul and one of moderate/tuneup per month, if there were X tune ups, and Y moderates, then there would be more than X+Y overhauls in order to still have overhauls remaining at the end of the moderates and tune/ups).
But I only came up with 42 needing overhauls, which isn't more than the tuneups and moderates put together. If my list of champion buffs was put through their current schedule, I would run out of overhauls first, not tune ups or moderates. Kabam will have more overhauls left at the end of this schedule.
So what does this mean? I think it means that Kabam are overestimating how many champions need overhauls. They must have around 55 or more overhauls planned in order to still need to have overhauls at the end of the schedule. Meaning there are between 10-20 champions that Kabam have on their list of what champions need which level of buff that do not need an overhaul. I think Guillotine was one of these champions. Champions that could very well have been buffed, sans risk, with a moderate update.
As a result of this, it seems there are a group of champions that could likely be fine with a moderate update, that have been put down as needing an overhaul. Could that champion be Ronan? And an overhaul could alter his stun lock? Could that overhaul be Star Lord, and his combo meter damage is reduced to balance new abilities? And could it have been Guillotine, who just needed a moderate to add her synergies to her base and add some utility to make her viable and better, instead of balancing new abilities and removing old ones.
TL:DR
Overhauls pose some risk to champions who already have useful abilities, as it is a possibility (but obviously not certain) that their current abilities could be balanced. Kabam have too many overhauls planned compared to the moderate and tune ups, which means there are some, and will be some champions in future, that are exposed to this risk of an overhaul changing their abilities. Overhauls should be reserved for champions with bare kits, so as to not remove useful aspects.