**Mastery Loadouts**
Due to issues related to the release of Mastery Loadouts, the "free swap" period will be extended.
The new end date will be May 1st.
Due to issues related to the release of Mastery Loadouts, the "free swap" period will be extended.
The new end date will be May 1st.
Blade crystal drop rate not 20%
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Btw- I think there's only about 1or 2 guys in this thread who ACTUALLY understand how probabilities work. While every event is independent, there's still an aggregate probability for multiple events. So just stating "that's how odds work" doesn't really mean anything. By throwing out some stupid analogy about how something may not happen bears zero proof or evidence.
Independent events have a well defined formula for figuring out probabilities of multiple events, which only become slightly complicated when figuring out at least X occurrences. Figuring out 0 is trivial. If you are claiming we don't know that, prove that you do.
Also you seem to be misunderstanding how probabilities work. You need atleast a sample size of 1000 random openings to be able to determine the probability to a reasonable margin of error. Yes opening 22 and not getting a single blade is improbable, but still no where near impossible.
Since the initial question has already been addressed and this discussion is veering off topic, it will now be closed.
To be perfectly clear for anybody that might be finding this thread in the future, there was a 20.x% Chance to get Blade from the Crystal.