Pulling the same champion over and over again

I have pulled a 4* Ghost Rider at least 3 times this month and just pulled a 5* Ghost Rider for the 3rd time and I am getting tired of it. It’s just not mathematically possible to keep pulling the same champion over and over - especially back to back. Very discouraging!

Comments

Kobster84

He’s not bad though so take your luck while you can

JohnHS

It is mathematically possible. Unlikely? Sure. Possible? Absolutely. You're jsut unlucky (or I'd argue lucky, as a big fan of Ghost Rider). Frustrating, but to be expected at a certain point in a luck-based game.

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Fhfjghhggggjfhfjg

Tbh repeatedly pulling ghost rider is better than constantly pulling hulkbuster and other garbage over and over

McFin

GR is a beast to be sure, just needing some diversity in my 5* grouping and was hoping for something else. I have already duped my Morningstar 3 times, Howard the Duck twice and Blade twice as well...

Djkrdjj

If u don’t use gR becuz of better mystics and rather have tech iso
Than I’d rather pull hulkbuster

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Djkrdjj

I mean for the dupe as a 4 star

Colinwhitworth69

I had a Rocket Raccoon month a while back, pulling him as a 2, 3, 4 and 5 star, and multiple times for the 2, 3 and 4.

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Demonzfyre

Flip a coin. Is it possible to get heads 10 times in a row? Yes. Likely? No but still possible. So is pulling GR like you have. Its absolutely mathematically possible.

EvilEmpire

The frequency that this type of unlikely “random” event occurs leads people to draw the conclusion that things are not as random as they are presented. How many players have pulled the same class of AG 3-4 times in a row. Sure seems like a lot of borderline mathematical impossibilities happen in mcoc 😏

Demonzfyre

The same result over a x amount of times doesn't mean its not random. isn't that actually the pure definition of RNG?

I think most people think RNG means i won't get the same thing over and over because its not "random". But that really is what RNG does.

Prathap

You are complaining about GR that too 4*. wait till you get Magneto or Cyclops 5* repeatedly... Speaking from experience 😂

KattohS

When he gets him to max sig he will stop pulling him from crystals.

RNG baby.

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Demonzfyre

It's about the results. Random results does exclude duplicate results. That is exactly what random is.

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KattohS

Yea....but as soon as he’s max sig he will disappear from this summoners crystal spins.

I have a 4* joe fix it that I got early on..... spun him 3 times for dup’d. And never once even saw him even in the spin animation since he became max sig.

RNG I guess.

Djkrdjj

I think ur taking his exaggeration too literal

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DNA3000

Sure, but it is a wrong conclusion. The problem is a well known fallacy in statistics. You don't actually know what the frequency of these things are. You only know how many you see. But over a million people play the game, and tens or hundreds of thousands of them have at least theoretically been in situations that could have generated those results. Seeing five or fifty people report an unusual event is only meaningful if we know from how big a pool of people that fifty come from. But this is practically an unknowable number because we don't know how many people saw but did not report the event. Fifty out of a thousand might be a lot, but fifty out of a hundred thousand might be trivial.

The odds of pulling the same class of something three times in a row is one in 36, and the odds of pulling the same class of something four times in a row is one in 216. These events are unusual taken singly, but the odds are that literally thousands of players are seeing it. Seeing dozens of people report this isn't unusual: it is probably well within the normal expectation.

Most people's intuition about statistics isn't just wrong, it is often literally worse than random guessing. Like referring to these kinds of events as "mathematically impossible" or "borderline mathematically impossible." These events aren't even what I would call rare.

Djkrdjj

Chill bro

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Savio444

A month or so ago, I opened 3, 5* crystals. 2 of them were Magneto...

DNA3000

Two of my last three 6* champs were Nightcrawler. It happens.

Although, at least now I know the answer to the question what's worse than pulling 6* DPX. Awakening Nightcrawler does seem to be worse than that.

Plantesan

I know your pain, OP (although GR is a good champ to have the sig level on) Had that happen early on with the 5* roster, pulled Drax at least 4 times in a row before the “adjustment” while others were pulling upper tier champs.

This is the part of the discussion where I (not sure about others) have issue with the tool-bag forum folk that preach “end-game content relies on roster depth” how does one do that when the system keeps landing on the same useless champs multiple times in a row?

DrZola

Of course, there’s also the possibility that the game team incorrectly believes everything is working perfectly randomly.

Think: Hanlon’s Razor. Now that’s definitely mathematically possible.

Dr. Zola

shadow_lurker22

What do you mean it isn't Mathematically possible unless the description states you have an absolute 0% chance to pull ghost rider then it is Mathematically possible.

Woogieboogie

Piss off, only have a 3*. Gave up a long time ago and r4 mephisto, since dorm hits like old Luke cage