What is the probability of being so unlucky?

JeJeanJeJean Member Posts: 16 β˜…
edited December 2021 in General Discussion
I sold this and I get this

Context: I sold it because I opened 4 featured crystals, and I did not get any featured: Diablo (I already had it duplicated), Gamora, Iceman and rogue

It seems like a joke but it is an anecdote xd
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Comments

  • JeJeanJeJean Member Posts: 16 β˜…
    Well I need prestige and she deserves too much uniqueness so no
    Jaded said:

    So Angela not worth awakening 🧐?

  • I_tell_no_tales_1I_tell_no_tales_1 Member Posts: 1,198 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    JeJean said:

    I sold this and I get this

    Context: I sold it because I opened 4 featured crystals, and I did not get any featured: Diablo (I already had it duplicated), Gamora, Iceman and rogue

    It seems like a joke but it is an anecdote xd

    Well I sold my mystic and ended up with mystic
    Didn't get skill for NF
  • DiablordDiablord Member Posts: 583 β˜…β˜…β˜…
    16.67%
  • AverageDesiAverageDesi Member Posts: 5,260 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

    1/6

    that would require Kabam's RNG to be truly random, which isn't the case. Their algorithms factor how much you've spent into them. They even have patents for them
    @danielmath
  • Wicket329Wicket329 Member Posts: 3,363 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

    1/6

    that would require Kabam's RNG to be truly random, which isn't the case. Their algorithms factor how much you've spent into them. They even have patents for them
    You would not believe how many patents have been filed for things that were never made. Existence of a patent alone is proof of nothing other than somebody had an idea at some point.
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  • CyborgNinja135CyborgNinja135 Member Posts: 1,119 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    I would pop that one into Red Goblin but not a lot of people seem to like him sadly. You said you needed prestige. In that case, Phoenix has very high prestige.
  • KingInBlackKingInBlack Member Posts: 324 β˜…β˜…β˜…
    Pretty good actually, my luck would make you feel grateful for yours πŸ˜‚
  • mostlyharmlessnmostlyharmlessn Member Posts: 1,387 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    Lovejoy72 said:

    I don’t want to get too deep into the math, but, scientifically, the odds are directly related to which elder god you are praying to. I prefer Shub-Niggurath, which I why I was able to pull 6* Diablo from the side quest cavs. I suspect your are using Cthulhu, who is unhelpful, and also technically dead.

    I only pray to Godzilla
  • AverageDesiAverageDesi Member Posts: 5,260 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    Lovejoy72 said:

    I don’t want to get too deep into the math, but, scientifically, the odds are directly related to which elder god you are praying to. I prefer Shub-Niggurath, which I why I was able to pull 6* Diablo from the side quest cavs. I suspect your are using Cthulhu, who is unhelpful, and also technically dead.

    Coincidence you share first names with the creator of Cthullu?
  • World EaterWorld Eater Member Posts: 3,739 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    Save for Hercules
  • JJJmJJJJJJmJJJ Member Posts: 136 β˜…
    The same happens with skill gem. Get it from the first 6s gem crystal, then I was searching for tech or science and I got again skill gem. Probably who have thought logics of exchange market have drunk a bit before...
  • FluffyPigMonsterFluffyPigMonster Member Posts: 2,069 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    I’ve pulled Iceman from the featured 8 times.

    At one point 6 times in a row.

    I’ve pulled Spidey99 2 times and he’s sig 200.

    Those are my last 11 pulls with Rogue in there somewhere
  • AverageDesiAverageDesi Member Posts: 5,260 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    IKON said:


    You're back!
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 19,640 Guardian
    Wicket329 said:

    1/6

    that would require Kabam's RNG to be truly random, which isn't the case. Their algorithms factor how much you've spent into them. They even have patents for them
    You would not believe how many patents have been filed for things that were never made. Existence of a patent alone is proof of nothing other than somebody had an idea at some point.
    This is true, but it is also true that no one who makes these claims actually read the patents, because the patents don't describe an invention for "factoring in how much you've spent in the game" in such broad terms The only patent that comes close to patenting such a thing is a patent (that is often pointed to, again by people who haven't read it) for improving the odds of a lootbox to drop higher value stuff when the game detects that player spending has dropped, to encourage them to spend again.

    There is no patent for making a lootbox secretly drop better stuff to whales, because first of all that would not be patentable, and second of all that would be stupid. No one wants to reward big spenders for spending by giving them secret rewards that are so subtle they can't tell they are getting them, and that the company has to deny they are giving out. That would literally be the dumbest patent ever applied for.
  • TheExit27TheExit27 Member Posts: 714 β˜…β˜…β˜…
    Diablord said:

    16.67%

    1/6

    These answers assume that only Cosmic was an unlucky draw... we need more information. Are all the other classes lucky pulls?
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 19,640 Guardian
    TheExit27 said:

    Diablord said:

    16.67%

    1/6

    These answers assume that only Cosmic was an unlucky draw... we need more information. Are all the other classes lucky pulls?
    Technically, he traded in an AG, and he got an AG, so the odds of that happening are 100%.
  • Hammerbro_64Hammerbro_64 Member Posts: 7,463 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
    DNA3000 said:

    TheExit27 said:

    Diablord said:

    16.67%

    1/6

    These answers assume that only Cosmic was an unlucky draw... we need more information. Are all the other classes lucky pulls?
    Technically, he traded in an AG, and he got an AG, so the odds of that happening are 100%.
    I always say the probability for anything is 50%. It either will happen or it won’t. Plain and simple
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 19,640 Guardian

    DNA3000 said:

    TheExit27 said:

    Diablord said:

    16.67%

    1/6

    These answers assume that only Cosmic was an unlucky draw... we need more information. Are all the other classes lucky pulls?
    Technically, he traded in an AG, and he got an AG, so the odds of that happening are 100%.
    I always say the probability for anything is 50%. It either will happen or it won’t. Plain and simple
    The odds that you're correct are only 50%.
  • AverageDesiAverageDesi Member Posts: 5,260 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

    DNA3000 said:

    TheExit27 said:

    Diablord said:

    16.67%

    1/6

    These answers assume that only Cosmic was an unlucky draw... we need more information. Are all the other classes lucky pulls?
    Technically, he traded in an AG, and he got an AG, so the odds of that happening are 100%.
    I always say the probability for anything is 50%. It either will happen or it won’t. Plain and simple
    I used to kinda find no flaw in this till the one young Sheldon episode
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