Arena crystal issue

I saved up 62,000 battlechips used them on 31 arena crystals and only got 15 units that’s a load of bull when before the last update I was getting 70 units out of 10 crystals it takes long enough as it is to get battlechips to then not get nothing but gold

Comments

  • SummonerNRSummonerNR Member, Guardian Posts: 13,645 Guardian
    edited September 2022
    It's random as to what you will get from each one.

    Sometimes opening a set of 10 won’t give you any Units, other times times you might get up to say 75 units.

    You’re talking the lowest version of them, so 15 units (or less likely 45) is what you have a chance at pulling Units. 15% chance at pulling 15 Units (within that either 2x1 or 3x1 chance at the 3x higher amount, 45 instead of 15 units).

    Game update has nothing to do with it.
  • lukedamien1lukedamien1 Member Posts: 4
    So how can you get 15 units out of 32 crystals then makes no sense mate and what your saying makes no sense either
  • lukedamien1lukedamien1 Member Posts: 4
    Also before update every ten crystals I was getting 60 to 70 units I would never only just get gold so it is because of the update
  • SummonerNRSummonerNR Member, Guardian Posts: 13,645 Guardian

    Also before update every ten crystals I was getting 60 to 70 units I would never only just get gold so it is because of the update

    I could call @DNA3000 into this discussion, but they will confirm the same thing,

    If you have never ever had sets of opening give no Units before, you have been extremely lucky all those times. Or by never, has it only been a few sets that you have ever opened since starting to play in past before now ?

    As for only 15 units out of 32 crystals, so that is “hitting” on just 1 of the 32 crystals. Bad luck, but still just bad luck (nothing more).

    Many times I have opened sets of 10 and not gotten Units, and sometimes that even happens in back-2-back sets as well.

    As for MATH, let’s take a case of missing out on Units for all of 31 crystals.
    That would be 0.85 (85% chance each of NOT getting Units, which is the correct odds) to a factorial of 31

    0.85 factorial 31. Which is 0.65 percent chance that might happen.
    So chances are that out of 154 people who open 31 crystals at a time, someone will be that unlucky as to get no Units.
  • DoosraDoosra Member Posts: 360 ★★★

    I saved up 62,000 battlechips used them on 31 arena crystals and only got 15 units that’s a load of bull when before the last update I was getting 70 units out of 10 crystals it takes long enough as it is to get battlechips to then not get nothing but gold

    I got zero units from 500k battle chips once, trying to open 10 tb crystals, that was the first and last time I ever opened them
    Just remember the fact that they are rng and move on
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 20,383 Guardian

    I saved up 62,000 battlechips used them on 31 arena crystals and only got 15 units that’s a load of bull when before the last update I was getting 70 units out of 10 crystals it takes long enough as it is to get battlechips to then not get nothing but gold

    1. 15 units out of 31 normal arena crystals is rare, but it does happen. The odds against this happening are about one in 154, and when it comes to normal arena crystals 154 is a relatively small number given the amounts of crystals being opened: it’s going to happen to people occasionally.

    2. 70 units out of ten standard arena crystals is almost double the statistical average. There is simply no way you were averaging that many units over any significant period of time. More likely this is selection bias. You’re remembering your best openings, forgetting about your average ones, and are now noticing a particularly bad one.
  • GiuliameijGiuliameij Member Posts: 1,849 ★★★★
    The average is 3 units per crystal. If you got 75 units from 10 crystals that is 7,5 in 1. This time you got 0,5 in 1. Your average is now roughly 2,2 in 1. A little lower than it should be, but a true average can only be gotten after opening hundreds if not thousands of crystals. So you are still good. Just a little unlucky.
  • phil56201phil56201 Member Posts: 987 ★★★
    edited September 2022
    All RNG. Opened 34 arena crystals just now.






  • K00shMaanK00shMaan Member Posts: 1,289 ★★★★
    And let's not forget one of the most important rules of statistics, just because you opened a bunch of crystals and didn't get units does not mean that you are any likelier to get units in future pulls. That is to say, just because you got unlucky this time doesn't mean you are more likely to be lucky the next time. Open enough crystals and it will probably even out though.
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