**KNOWN AW ISSUE**

Please be aware, there is a known issue with Saga badging when observing the AW map.

The team have found the source of the issue and will be updating with our next build.

We apologize for the inconvenience.

Please be aware, there is a known issue with Saga badging when observing the AW map.

The team have found the source of the issue and will be updating with our next build.

We apologize for the inconvenience.

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# First time ever..

Fugnasty
Posts:

**115**★
I rolled the dice on the new potential 5* Archangel and wasted $40. Got all 3*. Dont do it, waisting money on Crystal pulls is dumb.. im dumb lol.,

18

This discussion has been closed.

## Comments

1,472★★★★what if I spent 100$? 200?,300?

115★115★522,880★★★★★All luck I'm afraid, not got any AA ones, don't want to risk it 😂

1,071★★★90★1,153★★★$1000..shut the front door..that's like 2 months rent..lol

480★★No need to state the obvious. Could've told u the outcome even before you opened those crystals.

1,447★★★★Well, math tells you otherwise...

In your coin example: Yes, the odds for getting heads on the first try are 0.5 and yes, the odds for getting heads the second time are also 0.5.

BUT: The odds for getting heads BOTH times are actually 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25. So the odds are lower for getting the same result twice.

And to prove the math: With 2 coin tosses there are 4 possible outcomes:

- 1st heads, 2nd tails

- 1st tails, 2nd heads

- 1st tails, 2nd tails

- 1st heads, 2nd heads.

Thus, the odds for getting one specific result are 1 out of 4, hence 0.25.

Same basic principal goes for the champs in the crystal, so the odds for getting the same champ twice are lower...

Just my 2 cents...

945★★★But the odds of tossing the same thing twice in a row are still 50%

There are 4 options

1. Head, head

2. Head, tails

3. Tails, head

4. Tails, tails

326you are smart @ss again,too smart to be true.how can you compare a coin,which has 2 sides,with the crystal roll,when you have more than 80-90 heroes in the pool?there is no chance to pull the same hero.are you joking,or are you the joke?

3263263262★326945★★★So 4 champs, lets say AA, SG, GP and HB, every champ has the same odds of being pulled, all 25%. So if I want AA twice, there is a % of that happening, but if I look at the chance of pulling the same champ twice, it's a lot higher.

Roll 1, I either pull AA or one of the other 3 champs.

AA 25%

SG 25%

GP 25%

HB 25%

Roll 2, the % is the exact same. Still 25% chance for all.

There are now more then 4 different outcomes. I'll list them all.

AA, AA

AA, SG

AA, GP

AA, HB

SG, AA

SG, SG

SG, GP

SG, HB

GP, AA

GP, SG

GP, GP

GP, HB

HB, AA

HB, SG

HB, GP

HB, HB

There are 16 different possibilities, but as you can see, 4 of those have the same champ twice.

We now have a 4 out of 16 chance (25%) to pull the same champ twice and a 7 out of 16 (43%) chance of pulling AA at least once, but only a 1 out of 16 (6%) chance of pulling AA twice.

The more possibilities you add, the smaller the chance will be. With 10 champ the odd of pulling the same twice is still 10% (100 possibilities, 10 of which will be the same twice) but only a 1% chance to pull AA twice.

What people fail to realize is that pulling the same champ twice will always have relatively high odds, as long as it doesn't matter which champ you pull twice.

I'm still hoping to find out who Padlock is, but untill we know what the % on featured champs is, we don't know if those chances are higher then pulling the same non featured champ twice.

945★★★326945★★★I know, but at least I got to show of my math skills. And if even one person reads it and thinks "oh, he, I forgot I learned that" I at least didn't typ it all out for no reason.