What does "Increased chance" mean?
juST4fUN
Member Posts: 172 ★
So i see 2 diffrent versions of crystals the regular " guranteed 2* with XXX 3/4* as rare drops" and also "buy this for increased chance of getting XXX as 4*" .... so what does the increased chance mean? you are more likely to get that champs? OR if regular crystal has say 2% chance then these "increased chance" have say 10~50% more chance ? or is it just word play ?
I ama asking because in a poor judgment call i purchased that 450 units deal & well lets just say Kabam didnt fail to disappoint me.
I ama asking because in a poor judgment call i purchased that 450 units deal & well lets just say Kabam didnt fail to disappoint me.
4
Comments
Happy hunting
"Increased chance" means the chances are higher by an unspecified amount. It does not mean it is necessarily likely. You have an increased chance of winning the lottery if you buy two tickets instead of one with different numbers.
I am unaware of any crystal whose "increased chance" was increased enough to be likely. But sometimes the odds are significant. For example, the featured 5* crystal currently has an increased chance of getting the 5* featured champion over other 5* champions. That increased chance doesn't make it likely, but it does increase that chance from being close to 1% to about 20%. That's a significant jump, and high enough to make the odds of pulling that champion better than 50/50 if you open more than three crystals.
Keep in mind people lose coin tosses all the time. Some people lose coin tosses several times in a row. 50/50 odds doesn't mean you win every other time.
// just joking, of course.
its more of a 5% chance that raised to about 10%
The drop rate from a 4* in PHC is closer to 1%
And in a featured crystal that drop rate seems to be the same (I could be wrong about that) but when a 4* drops, instead of a 1/every 4* the chance is higher.
technically yes, but i feel that everyone overreacts about kabams statistics, its probably much better than most people think, so like the chance might raise from 1%-5% this means that you could pull one in 1/100 crystals, but ehrn its incresed, you might pull it in about 20
i wasnt saying that it was 5% im saying that thats about how much the chance raises, also the 3* are about 5% so that might raise it to 10
a 5% raise over a very small percentage is near impossible to detect so you're basically making up numbers. it would take tens of thousands of crystals when the rate is near 1% to prove a 5% increase. That means every 1000 pulls you would get 15 instead of 10, with variance you would need way more than 1000 to come to any type of certainty. Unless you have opened thousands of crystals that don't say increased chances and logged all the results, and also opened thousands of crystals that state increased chance and can verify it's about 5% stop posting nonsense.
He already confirmed he makes up numbers.
Real talk right here. "It's more than that other thing" +1
In the lottery though that second ticket actually has a definable increase number associated with it. To this point, in another thread, I do argue that without disclosing odds this game is not in line with the December apple TOS changes. Apple hasn't commented on if apps are grandfathered in or what enforcement will be though.