Half of my 6* roster is science. What are these odds?

Austin555555Austin555555 Member Posts: 3,048 ★★★★★
in General Discussion


What are the odds of this even happening.
«1

Comments

  • Iron_Patriot_is_litIron_Patriot_is_lit Member Posts: 1,860 ★★★★★
    edited November 2020
    1/162.

    I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.
  • shield456shield456 Member Posts: 1,980 ★★★
    Austin555555 said:



    What are the odds of this even happening.

    Can u show ur whole roster if u don't mind ☺ just interested
  • Iron_Patriot_is_litIron_Patriot_is_lit Member Posts: 1,860 ★★★★★
    Lmao said:

    Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

    1/162.

    I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.

    I don't think it's 1/162. Shouldn't it be 0.019897
    169 champs available as 6*s. 7 are not in the basic yet.
  • LmaoLmao Member Posts: 859 ★★★
    Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

    Lmao said:

    Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

    1/162.

    I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.

    I don't think it's 1/162. Shouldn't it be 0.019897
    169 champs available as 6*s. 7 are not in the basic yet.
    But he's asking what are the odds of pulling 5 science champs right? not just the hulk
  • NojokejaymNojokejaym Member Posts: 4,126 ★★★★★
    edited November 2020
    GroundedWisdom said:

    The odds are one thing. The amount this occurs is another. It's very common for Rosters to lean to one side, or not lean to another. Eventually, they fill in.

    What if they never fill in......... 😱
  • HarpenerHarpener Member Posts: 41 ★
    Out of my 9 6 stars 5 are mutants and I managed to dupe one of the useless mutants so I consider that even worse.
  • ShiroMikazukiShiroMikazuki Member Posts: 514 ★★★
    i have 0 6 stars but i do have 10 5 stars and 5 of them of science, 3 mystic 1 skill and 1 tech
  • SneakyWarriorSneakyWarrior Member Posts: 853 ★★★★
    Thicco_Mode said:


    4/7
    I win

    your six star roster is crazy good. joe fixit and cyclops :o
  • Etm34Etm34 Member Posts: 1,667 ★★★★★
    Of my 62 six stars, only 7 of them are science. 12 tech, 11 mutant, 11 skill, 10 cosmic, 11 mystic.
    The more you open, the more it starts to even out.
  • LmaoLmao Member Posts: 859 ★★★
    Push said:

    Assuming independence of event:
    P(4 of 7 science) =
    = P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
    = P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
    P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

    Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused
  • Kill_GreyKill_Grey Member Posts: 8,666 ★★★★★
    Lmao said:

    Push said:

    Assuming independence of event:
    P(4 of 7 science) =
    = P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
    = P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
    P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

    Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused
    Poisson distribution > binomial distribution
  • LmaoLmao Member Posts: 859 ★★★
    edited November 2020
    Kill_Grey said:

    Lmao said:

    Push said:

    Assuming independence of event:
    P(4 of 7 science) =
    = P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
    = P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
    P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

    Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused
    Poisson distribution > binomial distribution
    This isn’t a poisson distribution tho
  • Kill_GreyKill_Grey Member Posts: 8,666 ★★★★★
    Lmao said:

    Kill_Grey said:

    Lmao said:

    Push said:

    Assuming independence of event:
    P(4 of 7 science) =
    = P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
    = P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
    P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

    Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused
    Poisson distribution > binomial distribution
    This isn’t a poisson distribution tho
    Or whatever it's called, lol.
  • Spurgeon14Spurgeon14 Member Posts: 1,665 ★★★★
    This happened with me when I was first pulling 5*s...the more you pull, the more it should balance out among the classes.
  • Doctorwho13Doctorwho13 Member Posts: 600 ★★★
    edited November 2020
    I have 10 and 5 are mutants. I feel your pain. Not a single science actually. 2 skill, one cosmic and one mystic and one tech.
  • ElhadjeeElhadjee Member Posts: 61 ★
    If you wanna talk about pain hear me out. I have around 40 6* and only one cosmic which is Gamora and guess what?

    I have 2 cosmic t5CCs for more than 6 months now.One from first abyss run,the other from map7 etc.
  • FiiNCHFiiNCH Member Posts: 1,669 ★★★★★
    From the title I thought this was a joke post and you had 2 6* champions
  • UnknownUnknown
    edited November 2020
    This content has been removed.
  • UnknownUnknown
    This content has been removed.
  • Colinwhitworth69Colinwhitworth69 Member Posts: 7,470 ★★★★★
    My roster was like this at first, heavy on science and cosmic six stars, lacking any tech. Now it has mostly evened out, although science and cosmic are still ahead of the other classes.

    All of these probability discussions are meaningless in terms of what you can expect to happen to you, BTW.
  • World EaterWorld Eater Member Posts: 3,748 ★★★★★
    I had the same issue and pulled 5 techs out of my first 9-10 6*s

    Nebula
    green goblin
    Yondu
    Vulture
    Nebula
  • PushPush Member Posts: 45 ★
    You’re right. Essentially, a binomial distribution expands into this one if the the probabilities are the same and if I took the combinations into account.

    I was thinking about how long it takes to get a 6* and how the crystal values changed.

    A binomial with current odds is probably a decent estimate though.
    Lmao said:

    Push said:

    Assuming independence of event:
    P(4 of 7 science) =
    = P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
    = P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
    P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

    Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused
  • MoosetiptronicMoosetiptronic Member Posts: 2,160 ★★★★
    edited November 2020
    Only one mutant and no science from my 16. Sitting on 50k shards and a rank 1 to 2 science gem and so reluctant to open them for fear of deep disappointment.. 4 cosmic and 4 tech?!

    img src="https://us.v-cdn.net/6029252/uploads/editor/um/aan72tcoy3b9.jpg" alt="" />

  • SaltE_Wenis69SaltE_Wenis69 Member Posts: 1,993 ★★★★
    edited November 2020
    Austin555555 said:



    What are the odds of this even happening.

    If I had that roaster I would not care at all :D
  • WardizzleWardizzle Member Posts: 12 ★
    I mean I've opened 10 6 stars and pulled 8 skill, so this isn't that crazy. I pulled stealthy twice though so I can't freally complain.
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