If you were chasing doom/sorc/torch as five stars

Malreck04Malreck04 Member Posts: 3,327 ★★★★★
edited May 2021 in Strategy and Tips
Would an extra 5k shards be worth the slightly better chances on a single crystal
Odds
Featured
2/25
2crystals:expectance= 4/25=16%
Mystic/Science
1/30 from science
2/29 from mystic
3/59
3crystals:expectance=9/59=15.25%
Post edited by Kabam Valiant on

Comments

  • The_Sentry06The_Sentry06 Member Posts: 7,795 ★★★★★
    Yes definitely.
  • TrashyPandaTrashyPanda Member Posts: 1,574 ★★★★★
    It depends on the roster. I don't need/want most of the others in the Featured, so I'd go duals. That's just my situation, though.

    Now, if BWCV was in there too...
  • WolverDominatorWolverDominator Member Posts: 132 ★
    2 times 2/25 does not make 4/25.
    Bad odds = 23/25.
    2 times bad odds = (23/25) ^2
    Good odds = 1-(23/25)^2 = 15,3%
    For 3/59 3 crystals
    It’s
    1-(56/59)^3=14.5%
  • Malreck04Malreck04 Member Posts: 3,327 ★★★★★
    WolverDominator said:

    2 times 2/25 does not make 4/25.
    Bad odds = 23/25.
    2 times bad odds = (23/25) ^2
    Good odds = 1-(23/25)^2 = 15,3%
    For 3/59 3 crystals
    It’s
    1-(56/59)^3=14.5%

    My bad. Directly adding only gives probability of getting a good champ from only one crystal, deleting the other cases
  • Malreck04Malreck04 Member Posts: 3,327 ★★★★★
    Malreck04 said:

    WolverDominator said:

    2 times 2/25 does not make 4/25.
    Bad odds = 23/25.
    2 times bad odds = (23/25) ^2
    Good odds = 1-(23/25)^2 = 15,3%
    For 3/59 3 crystals
    It’s
    1-(56/59)^3=14.5%

    My bad. Directly adding only gives probability of getting a good champ from only one crystal, deleting the other cases
    For anyone reading this in the future, my statement is incorrect, this is not how the addition rule works. By adding directly, I am counting the probability of double success twice, so if I subtract that once, then I will get the exact same result as @WolverDominator above
  • Yodabolt21Yodabolt21 Member Posts: 2,602 ★★★★★
    Open the featured sand ignore the math... the chances of you actually pulling Doom or Torch from a dual is unlikely.

    I got one of each and I opened 6 featureds prior to that, I opened roughly 75 duals and got neither of them (or Void, Dragon Man, Voodoo, Claire, YJ, Cap IW or Mojo) so there you go. I did pull Mojo 10x, Diablo x6 and OG Spidey x5 though...

    I know some have loved the duals, I am not one of them... I know some think the featureds aren’t worth the extra 5k, but I think they are if there is at least 4-5 (or more) champs you would want from them.
  • Malreck04Malreck04 Member Posts: 3,327 ★★★★★
    Yodabolt21 said:

    Open the featured sand ignore the math... the chances of you actually pulling Doom or Torch from a dual is unlikely.

    I got one of each and I opened 6 featureds prior to that, I opened roughly 75 duals and got neither of them (or Void, Dragon Man, Voodoo, Claire, YJ, Cap IW or Mojo) so there you go. I did pull Mojo 10x, Diablo x6 and OG Spidey x5 though...

    I know some have loved the duals, I am not one of them... I know some think the featureds aren’t worth the extra 5k, but I think they are if there is at least 4-5 (or more) champs you would want from them.

    The duals can be so weird sometimes...I was going for mystic/science ever since they came out but haven't pulled a doom, sorcerer, claire yet. Pulled magik pretty early and she's basically the only mystic champ I've used so far in act6, and I just got past 6.3. (Also managed to dragon man last week and sym yesterday, sym will probably go to rank 3-4)

    Eventually I decided to go for cosmic/tech and I pulled a Warlock out of my first/second one
  • UnknownUnknown
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  • Dawnbringer_1Dawnbringer_1 Member Posts: 268 ★★
    Realistically featured is always better for targeting champs but there’s always that person who pops one basic and gets exactly what they after.
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