TB Daily Rare Drop %s

Running over six months of Thronebreaker Daily crystals and I’m trying to get a sense of the rarity of 6* shard and T5c shard drops.

It’s easy to me to calculate, since I’ve seen neither. But for any other long-term TBs, what’s your sense in relation to other rare events in game?

Is it rare as 5* Punisher? 6* Punisher? Rare as an L1 revive from dailies when you’ve got 2% left on an opponent and you’ve drained your stash?

Not meant to be an unserious thread—I’m just trying to put TB daily drops into similar orders of magnitude (minitude? microtude?) as other in game events.

Dr. Zola

Comments

Reference

For 10k 6* shards, I got twice from TB daily, yet the one I’m the most unexpected is one fully formed T5B.

For TB Battlechip Crystal, I tried < 50 times and only pull gold and units.

rockykoston

I've got a t5b in my short span as a TB but other than that nothing of note.

Opened about 20 dailies I think.

Graves_3

Been TB since December. Haven’t seen six star shards or t5cc yet. I haven’t missed logging in for extended periods of time but the time creep probably means I miss out on a daily crystal or two every month on an average.

FiiNCH

I’ve been TB since October (I think), and I’ve never seen the 6* shards. I’ve pulled several fully formed t5b’s and a couple of t5CC fragments.

I’d guess that both the 6* shards and t5CC are less than 1% chance in the crystal

Crcrcrc

Opening my first one today, curious if I’ll see anything like that or just a mediocre drop

DrZola

I tend to think 6* shards are in the neighborhood of the 6* Punisher rate (0.02%), or maybe a little north of that. I never expect them because the quantity would definitely make them perhaps the rarest drop.

What has surprised me is the rarity of T5c shards. Picking up 1-3% over three to four months was what I imagined reasonable, but based on my history, I would put T5 shards in the same rough chance as 6* shards.

For reference, I’m averaging 2+ T2a a month and about 3/4 T5b a month, and that includes 4 full T2a and 3 full T5b over the past six-plus months. My pulls are just south of 70% T4 of some variety, which is fine—there’s cat overlap for 5/6* champs so that’s useful too.

Dr. Zola

DrZola

Opening my first one today, curious if I’ll see anything like that or just a mediocre drop

It adds up over time. And it’s more significant when you first hit TB. Hope you have a screaming good run of dailies.

Dr. Zola

yuw

out of 120 I opened, got a full t5b and t5cc fragment once, 4 5star, all the other ones are t4cc,t2alpha and t4b

Yodabolt21

I think I've opened around 70 and I got 1 t5b, 2 5* champs (Champion and OG Spidey, yay), no 6* shards and no t5cc frags. A whole ton of t2a, t4b and t4cc. Honestly, I am still ranking up 5*, so I have no issues with it personally.

Colinwhitworth69

In my 7-8 months as TB, I have pulled 6s shards and Tbcc once each, both in the first month I was TB.

DawsMan

what i love about the crystals is I never seem to run out of t4b, t2a is never at a stand still, and a decent amount of t4cc. I've got 5k five star shards since may when i got tb. Probably the equivilant to 1.5 t5b and one five star champ.

Qfury

Been throne breaker since October.

Not had 6* shards

No t5cc

Had multiple fully formed t5b's & t2a's

Had 5* shards 3-4 times

Had 2 5*s

Not that many t4cc or shards surprisingly.

My most common pull is t4b

Units once

Demonzfyre

I've been TB since about 3 weeks after it's release. I have yet to pull 10k 6* shards.

QuikPik

I've been TB since it began and have never pulled 10k 6* shards. T5cc frags maybe 2-3 times and a full T5B once.

DrZola

I think we are squarely into “rare TB daily pulls are like pulling 6* Punisher territory.”

Dr. Zola

QuikPik

I think we are squarely into “rare TB daily pulls are like pulling 6* Punisher territory.”

Dr. Zola

Or even 5* Punisher territory. I open 4* max sig all the time and still don't have him.

unknown

This content has been removed.

DrZola

150 crystals opened:

3 Full T5B
4 Full T2A
5K 5 star shards twice
Half T2A and T5B around 10 times
1 5 star hero

The rest has been T4CC and T4B

6 star shards don't exist, there is T5CC didn't see that in the drop rates .

I’ve seen some people get T5c and 6* shards early on. Been a while since anyone posted a screen shot with 6*.

I think we are squarely under 1%, probably under 0.5%.

Which is fine. Just helps to have the information out in the open.

Dr. Zola

SirGamesBond

Here's what I got since day 1 of TB introduction.

T5b full- 2
T2a full- 4
5* hero- 0
5k 5* shards- roughly 5-6 times
6* shards- 0
T5cc- 0

T4c and t4b, I think they are rather helpful.

Squirrelguy

In 7-8 months, I’ve pulled 4 full T5B, no T5CC, and no 6* shards.

Nojokejaym

I’ve never got 10k 6 shards

Etm34

Been TB since start.
0 10k 6* shards
3 5k 5* shards
3 5* champions
0 T5CC
6 full T5B

Zhahovic7

It's a rigged crystal🤣 ...when I spin it I get to see tonnes of 5* champs but it somehow always lands on catalysts

DrZola

~180 days of collected TB Daily data (plus several missed days at the beginning) and this pops up for the first time for me…

I forgot it was a Daily and thought it was a Cav Objective crystal with the requisite smattering of shards. Had to do a double take.

Shocked? Definitely. Does it make the past month sting a little less. Sure.

Apparently, unicorns are real.

Dr. Zola

Rookiie

~180 days of collected TB Daily data (plus several missed days at the beginning) and this pops up for the first time for me…

I forgot it was a Daily and thought it was a Cav Objective crystal with the requisite smattering of shards. Had to do a double take.

Shocked? Definitely. Does it make the past month sting a little less. Sure.

Apparently, unicorns are real.

Dr. Zola

W00T! 🎉
Congrats mate I'm happy for you!
What do you plan to do with them (basic, featured, hoard)?

DrZola

~180 days of collected TB Daily data (plus several missed days at the beginning) and this pops up for the first time for me…

I forgot it was a Daily and thought it was a Cav Objective crystal with the requisite smattering of shards. Had to do a double take.

Shocked? Definitely. Does it make the past month sting a little less. Sure.

Apparently, unicorns are real.

Dr. Zola
W00T! 🎉
Congrats mate I'm happy for you!
What do you plan to do with them (basic, featured, hoard)?

Waiting for featured. Will have some shards from SoP, etc.

Dr. Zola

Qfury

Aye! First time for these for me.

Qfury

Another rare drop & first for me

TheBair123

been tb for about 2 months now. never gotten a 5* champ, 10k 6* shards, or anything else super fun. mostly just t4b, t4cc frags, and the occasional t5b or t2a frags.