**Mastery Loadouts**
Due to issues related to the release of Mastery Loadouts, the "free swap" period will be extended.
The new end date will be May 1st.
Due to issues related to the release of Mastery Loadouts, the "free swap" period will be extended.
The new end date will be May 1st.
Options
Comments
/s
The odds of that happening from 21 crystals are actually 0.0000000107%. You’re probably not expecting that exactly, but it seems you’re not expecting that much repetition either.
When random samples are selected, repetition is a sign of the sample actually being random. If your normal distribution curve is not a curve, it’s likely not random.
Is it likely that there’s a prolonged period of one or two champions? Maybe not. But it’s entirely possible, and no need to take out the tin foil hat because of it.
I know from your post you’re not fully on board with the crazy conspiracy train, but you seem to be deciding whether to buy the ticket, so I just wanted to nudge you back to reasonableness.
I blame Swedah for the tinfoil hat conspiracy though. I watched his opening with all his Groot and Gorr luck. lol.
I hadn’t originally planned to invest too heavily in this crystal, but it is surprisingly good for my roster.
My definition of good is champs I don’t have, champs I have awakened but want to dup/more sigs, champs I have but that are not awakened. For me, 19 out of 24 champs fit this criteria. So basically a 79% chance of pulling something that fits my definition of ‘good’. Obviously there are a smaller number that would make me REALLY happy (Galan etc) but none of the 19 are a bad pull for me.
There are two champs that fit my definition of neutral (I have them and have them awakened, are ranked or soon to be ranked, but that there isn’t a huge amount of value from additional sigs.) 8% chance to pull one of them.
There are three champs that are straight up bad pulls for me - have them, have them awakened, and have no plan to rank them short of Kabam giving them a massive buff. 13% chance for one of those each pull.
On Tuesday my first pull was one of my 19 (Scarlet Witch OG). My next 6 pulls were all from my bad (3 pulls) and neutral pile (3 pulls). Actually originally one of my neutrals (2 pulls) was in my bad pile so basically 5 out of 6 bad pulls. But then I realized that one of my double originally defined as bad pulls (Man thing) is actually not a horrible defender, so redefined him as a neutral in attempt to make myself feel slightly better about my pulls.
That said, with 6 straight pulls (assuming my math is right : 1-.21*.21*.21*.21*.21*.21) I had over a 99.9% chance to have at least one of those pulls be a ‘good’ champ I wanted, and it didn’t happen. In this case the math was such that I had a pretty solid chance to be happy, but the RNG didn’t cooperate on 6 straight pulls.
It's also hilarious neither you nor the OP have backed your claim up with any sort of data. It's the "Trust me Bro" mentality for me.
1. Kabam wants to have most players receive bad champions most of the time, on top of the pre-existing state where with simple RNG, there are more undesirable champions than desirable champions.
3. Kabam would have to read your mind to know which specific champion you want, in order to not give you that champion.
4. Kabam would have to read your mind to know which champions you don't want, in order to give you that champion.
5. Kabam would have to customize results for every specific player, so that they can have a player without Iron Patriot only receives dupes of their Groot, and so on.
6. Kabam would be willing to risk breaking the law all to ensure that there is a Nightcrawler in every household.
If this is true, Kabam is in the wrong business and should instead apply their algorithm to gambling or the stock market.
1. All they would need to do is apply a 1-10 rating to each hero.
2. Kabam wouldn't have to read your mind, as we've seen with pop-ups for years. The game is aware of what you have on your account and will try to sell you remaining catalyst fragments etc.
3. Kabam would simply have to apply the Weighted Rng algorithm that they have documented at length(with pictures) in a patent to combine those 2 aspects. Then parameters can be easily set in accordance with monetization.
There are no foil hats necessary. This is all common in other games. It all comes down to whether or not you trust that Kabam has applied a patent they've had on file that describes EXACTLY THIS to the game or not. Remember, crystals only say 100% chance at a six star etc.... Even if your rng is weighted, you're still receiving exactly what is described on the crystal. Kabam Jax says it's illegal and unethical... and yet Kabam created this "unethical" and "illegal" patent.
Amazon has a patent for flying warehouses. Haven't seen one of those.
Companies regularly patent technologies to protect ideas and prevent widespread use. Again as I said in my previous comment, Amazon patented a flying warehouse but you don't see those anywhere. Only tinfoil conspiracy believers truly believe that patent is in the game.
What you described with the 2 different openings is that one person opened 2 and another opened 27. You even said they got 2 featured so they equal that other opening right there. If you're only targeting 1 or 2 champs, then yeah, it seems odd.
You can see varied results from all the openings on YouTube. Karatemike pulled a lot of featured from 46. The more you open, the more opportunities you have to pull champs you don't want.
What benefits did this bring to them? Having such algorithm in place might make more players leave as they are unable to pull certain champs, which is not good for kabam.
P.S. Why are you also refusing to give me a 6* Drax? Or is he already in my roster and I just don't know how to find him?