Arena crystal drop rates

Just moaning really, just grinding arena for crystals and opened 30 arena crystals and got 1xpunisher and gold! No units at all!
What a waste of time!

Comments

noclutch

CAn you show screenshot

DerpyEagle

CAn you show screenshot

Don’t believe him?! I open 20 all the time and get zilch.....he doesn’t need to sc anything

ZsirhcZ

Get gold when I need units. Get units when I need gold…. The game KNOWS!

Lemon_Man44

Rng

Giuliameij

On average a normal arena crystal gives 3 units per crystal. ON AVERAGE.
So in your next 30 crystals you will probably get 180 something units.
(I know that is not exactly how it works, it is just a simple example)

Horndog

Just opened another 10 and gold only....

I'll take a screenshot next time

Etm34

I think with all the arena crystals I’ve ever opened it averages to about 15% chance for units. You just had bad RNG, we’ve all been there

Chatterofforums

Get gold when I need units. Get units when I need gold…. The game KNOWS!

You could literally use the units to get gold crystals if you really needed it more than units.

Horndog

My luck's changed..... Another 10 and 15 units.
Time to buy a lottery ticket 🤣

MrSakuragi

RNG & small sample size

SirGamesBond

I dont grind much and have no faith of pulling units anymore. Lol these are gold crystals for me.

Longshot_33

Anyone ever got the 6* Punisher?

Greekhit

It’s really rng.
Sometimes you have an unlucky streak and sometimes you get lucky.
I do basic arena crystals and open batches of five (10k battlechips).
Sometimes I open 30 or more crystals with getting only gold, and sometimes a batch of five gives results like this:

🙂

SammyDe

Avoid or minimise RNG by getting a bigger sample size

Not great but not that bad either (I think).

Horndog

Just done 50 crystal and got 30 credit 🤣

Midnightfox

They are generally horrid when an event requiring them or new champ is out.

I_tell_no_tales_1

Opened 5 got 60
Died to Mantis twice
Back to 0

DNA3000

They are generally horrid when an event requiring them or new champ is out.

The theory that the arena crystals are altered to reduce the odds of units appearing just prior to or during the big sales events is something that is statistically unlikely. I track arena crystal drops, in fact I've logged every arena crystal I've opened since the beginning of 2020. I have enough data to demonstrate the arena crystals have approximately the drop rates published, and those drop rates vary within the reasonable range expected, and the odds do not shift substantially depending on moments when players might otherwise be spending larger numbers of units than average.

If someone wants to point to a couple crystals and claim there's a problem, they are going to need enough data to contradict 2200 UC crystals and 680 TB crystals opened across three and a half years, in almost every month during that period.