7* awakening gems class crazy chance

How is that even possible - 5 mutant awakening gems in a row(placed one on Dazzler)? What are the chances! Option to change awakening gems should be available!

Comments

MystG

You've opened 5 awakening crystals? That's sick

Dr. Crab

I’ve opened up 7, 4 of which were science the other 3 all mutant. It’s been so disappointing.

Dr. Crab

BTW, I believe your chances are 5!
(1 out of 5x4x3x2x1 which is 1 out of 120, i.e. 0.8%)
I haven’t done stats in awhile but I believe that’s correct.

captain_rogers

Most ftp players have opened around 5 or more.

I remember getting 2 tech, 2 skill, 2 cosmic ags at this point from different sources

MystG

was a joke lol

I've also opened about 5-6 of em

Edit: 3 skill, 2 cosmic, 1 mystic iirc AND
0 science cuz I've been desperately wanting to dupe my photon for prestige

captain_rogers

Your rep is wrong though, it's not 5!, it's 1/5! (Sorry my maths ass couldn't resist correcting)

willrun4adonut

I'm pretty sure that it's 1/(5^5) for five mutant gems, and 1/(5^4) for any five gems being the same. But I also haven't done probability in a long time.

Herbal_Taxman

Definitely something more like this. 1/5 is far too low for the chance of pulling the same class in five consecutive crystals, each with a 1/6 chance.

Monkehello

I got skill ☹️

willrun4adonut

I think he meant 5 factorial, and I forgot there were six classes (just going off of the post without really reading), so it should be 1/(6^5) for mutant only I think

Polygon

Its not a factorial because pulling a gem once doesnt impact the chances of pulling it a 2nd time. The odds are "mutually exclusive"

BringPopcorn

I got 1 cosmic sitting in my inventory and no one other than Scream to use it on, and I don't want to use it on her. I know as soon as I use it I will get her from a Crystal. Its an unwritten rule of MCoC

Dr. Crab

Oh man, brutal blunder. After almost 10 years I forgot there are six classes, man getting old sucks…Anyway, that puts it at 1/6! which is ~0.1% (or significantly higher if you believe that MCoC’s internal coding sways your probability into giving you outcomes that are less likely to help you, i.e. your 5th similar awakening gem, definitely more on the conspiratorial side though).

ShashankGupta

Why using brain when we have @DNA3000 for all our maths questions
Hope he answer it as well 😅

BringPopcorn

You want him to waste his time on the chances of pulling 1/6 on individually resetting tries?...
There is a very old analog device you can try to experiment. I know its crazy, the only thing you gotta do is assign 1 side a class in the game. Its called a Dice.

The_0wenpus

And 1/6^4 for a 5-in-a-row streak of any class.

BringPopcorn

Can you throw a dice and get the same number 5 times in a row? Yes its possible

Dr. Crab

I checked it out, it’s actually (1/6)^5 so about 0.01%

(Kudos @willrun4adonut)

MystG

bro the thread derailed.. my condolences OP

Terminatrix

So with this being said, I think it's about time for some AG Selectors 😂

BringPopcorn

Wouldn't a generic AG be more convenient? 🙄

TheUglyone123

The last three awakening gem crystals I have opened have all been mutant, I feel your pain

Terminatrix

They didn't have 5 RARE generics though 🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄. Now chill.