# 5% in the real world is rare to never

Catherine
Posts:

**186**★
just fought a small defender in aw with 5% evade global node. unduped wasp evaded every light and medium i threw at her. 5% in kabam numbers is 80% unless it's a crystal opening.

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## Comments

1,102★★★2,691Guardian731★★★Some you don't really notice, others can make fights very difficult.

7,361★★★★★574★★★7,361★★★★★574★★★2,898★★★★★2,032★★★★★6,700Administrator ›7,361★★★★★2,798★★★★★444★6,700Administrator ›639★★★145★(1 hit * .03 chance to evade) * 100 hits = 3 hits evaded

100 hits * .03 chance to evade = 3 hits evaded

If minuscule odds in real life worked like they do in MCOC, buying lottery tickets would be a sound business strategy.

996★★★🐻

145★12,384GuardianThe correct way to combine probabilities is to use what is known as the fundamental counting principle. It works like this. There's a 50% chance for a coin to come up heads and a 50% chance to come up tails. In one flip there are two possibilities: heads or tails. After that flip, regardless of whether it comes up heads or tails there is still two possibilities for the second flip: heads or tails. That means if the coin comes up heads on the first flip the two possibilities for two flips are HH and HT. If the coin comes up tails on the first flip the two possibilities for two flips are TH and TT. Therefore, there are four possibilities in total: HH, HT, TH, TT. There is a one out of four chance of getting no heads at all, and a one out of four chance of getting two heads. There's two out of four chance of getting one head and one tail, because there's two distinct ways for that to happen out of all four possibilities.

All of statistical math is based on this principle, and arithmetical shortcuts to sum the possibilities.

12,384Guardian1,240★★★★