400 Days of Paragon Crystals
DNA3000
Member, Guardian Guardian › Posts: 19,677 Guardian
For those interested, here's my current compiled data for 400 Paragon Daily crystals, plus my guestimate for what the actual drop odds are for that crystal.
Here's a summary of all my drops so far:
This a summary of the net combined value of those individual drops, and an average calculated value of what 30 days of those crystals would drop (about a month):
Based on the data I have accumulated to date, and some reasonable design guesses, this is what I think the actual drop odds are for this crystal:
Note: I am pretty confident about the higher probability drops - basically from T4B to 4.5k T5CC fragments and the 5k 6* shards. I'm reasonably sure the 6* champion is on or near 1%. The last four are somewhat wild guesses, although all of them combined have to be limited to about 1% total, plus or minus, so all of them have to be very low probability drops somewhere in that general vicinity. I suspect 45 units is rarer than 30 units, for example, but the data is silent on in what way (in fact I got more of the 45 than 30, but that's almost certainly a statistical fluke).
*IF* those drop odds were accurate, and the tiny ones have fairly wide margin for error, this is what the value of the crystal would be for about one month of drops and one year of drops:
Here's a summary of all my drops so far:
This a summary of the net combined value of those individual drops, and an average calculated value of what 30 days of those crystals would drop (about a month):
Based on the data I have accumulated to date, and some reasonable design guesses, this is what I think the actual drop odds are for this crystal:
Note: I am pretty confident about the higher probability drops - basically from T4B to 4.5k T5CC fragments and the 5k 6* shards. I'm reasonably sure the 6* champion is on or near 1%. The last four are somewhat wild guesses, although all of them combined have to be limited to about 1% total, plus or minus, so all of them have to be very low probability drops somewhere in that general vicinity. I suspect 45 units is rarer than 30 units, for example, but the data is silent on in what way (in fact I got more of the 45 than 30, but that's almost certainly a statistical fluke).
*IF* those drop odds were accurate, and the tiny ones have fairly wide margin for error, this is what the value of the crystal would be for about one month of drops and one year of drops:
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