Black Widow 3% Evade? Cool Story Bro

https://youtu.be/XScv3vGKWXw

3% evade chance working as intended

Comments

Hey OP,

This looks normal to me, unless I'm missing something. 3% Chance to Evade per hit does not mean she will only evade 3 out of 100 attacks, or even a guarantee that she would evade 1 in 1000. This is not how probability works. With a 3% chance per attack, there's a slim chance that you could throw 100 attacks, and she could evade each and every one of them.

It's best not to treat Black Widow like a Champion that can't evade. This is something I see come up a lot, but treat her the same way you treat Spider-Man, or Nightcrawler. Champions that can suppress Ability Accuracy, or negate Evasion (Ice-Man!) are great choices. I know that this isn't always possible in Dungeons, however, as you have your team of 3 and can't spy ahead.

Are you serious??? And if you are serious then tell me why does this probability don't works while opening crystals. We get only 4×4* champions from premium/100 premium if its probability is 4%

AceLuffySabo

Any reason you guys are reviving this two year old post?

Djin

Just posting 100th comment on this discussion.
Don't mind me.

Tiger360

It's way worse with Ultron, especially in harder game modes or in Alliance War. There are times when he will evade several attacks in a row. Explain to me how that is even possible if he evades every 7 seconds.

Agreed he evaded 3 in a row for me yesterday it’s a joke, I feel like I’m fighting NC and I might as well be
Edit: just realised this was posted almost 2 years ago my bad

Stellan

Interpret probability as a general guideline but not as a definite truth. Thus, you make room for random stuff to happen.

CaptainPoll

Hey OP,

This looks normal to me, unless I'm missing something. 3% Chance to Evade per hit does not mean she will only evade 3 out of 100 attacks, or even a guarantee that she would evade 1 in 1000. This is not how probability works. With a 3% chance per attack, there's a slim chance that you could throw 100 attacks, and she could evade each and every one of them.

It's best not to treat Black Widow like a Champion that can't evade. This is something I see come up a lot, but treat her the same way you treat Spider-Man, or Nightcrawler. Champions that can suppress Ability Accuracy, or negate Evasion (Ice-Man!) are great choices. I know that this isn't always possible in Dungeons, however, as you have your team of 3 and can't spy ahead.

Oh I wish that even crystals WORKED LIKE THAT!!!

CaptainGame

A 3% chance to evade does not equal an evade every 2 to 4 hits. It means there’s a 97% chance to land every individual hit. Some of you don’t understand math and it shows. By that rate I should be rolling 6*s about 6 or 7 times out of every set of 10 cav crystals. Unless you add in the variable of being a brown noser or an idiot, your calculations shouldn’t be giving you the answer of “she gonna evade a LOT!”

ChubsWhite

Okay, I read the post, and y'all say Black Widow has a 3% chance to evade every attack. My problem is, I always thought it was 3% of some number.. so when it comes to evade champions, there is no 3% out of 100%?

My mind was thinking if it's 3% out of 100% then that means there should be a 97% chance she does not evade, but that's not how any of this works?

Duke_Silver

Lmao imagine still thinking there’s a conspiracy behind BW’s evade. Y’all just be getting unlucky.

CaptainGame

Okay, I read the post, and y'all say Black Widow has a 3% chance to evade every attack. My problem is, I always thought it was 3% of some number.. so when it comes to evade champions, there is no 3% out of 100%?

My mind was thinking if it's 3% out of 100% then that means there should be a 97% chance she does not evade, but that's not how any of this works?

You are correct. That is how it works. Don’t read the posts here because a lot of it is nonsense from people making up excuses and using their failed math class skills. You’ll end up losing brain cells. She evades more than 3% of the time. It’s 97% chance of landing a hit vs 3% chance of her evading it. It’s no more complicated than that.

CaptainGame

Lmao imagine still thinking there’s a conspiracy behind BW’s evade. Y’all just be getting unlucky.

Imagine being so stupid and ignoring reality to win the love of kabam. But attempted to frame it as everybody is crazy and unlucky except you. Yeah you’re not a moron

Djin

When asked about the probability of a coin landing on heads, you would probably answer that the chance is ½ or 50%.
Imagine that you toss that same coin 10 times. How many times would you expect it to land on heads? You might say, 50% of the time, or half of the 10 times. So you would expect it to land on heads 5 times. This is the theoretical probability.

The theoretical probability is what you expect to happen, but it isn't always what actually happens.
Let's say you toss a coin 10 times and get following data:
HEADS: 7
TAILS: 3
The experimental probability of landing on heads in this case is 70%

It actually landed on heads more times than we expected.

Now, we continue to toss the same coin for 50 total tosses.
HEADS: 27
TAILS: 23
The experimental probability of landing on heads is 54%

The probability is still slightly higher than expected, but as more trials were conducted, the experimental probability became closer to the theoretical probability.

So, theoretical probability is what we expect to happen, where experimental probability is what actually happens when we try it out. As more trials are conducted, the experimental probability generally gets closer to the theoretical probability.

CaptainGame

When asked about the probability of a coin landing on heads, you would probably answer that the chance is ½ or 50%.
Imagine that you toss that same coin 10 times. How many times would you expect it to land on heads? You might say, 50% of the time, or half of the 10 times. So you would expect it to land on heads 5 times. This is the theoretical probability.

The theoretical probability is what you expect to happen, but it isn't always what actually happens.
Let's say you toss a coin 10 times and get following data:
HEADS: 7
TAILS: 3
The experimental probability of landing on heads in this case is 70%

It actually landed on heads more times than we expected.

Now, we continue to toss the same coin for 50 total tosses.
HEADS: 27
TAILS: 23
The experimental probability of landing on heads is 54%

The probability is still slightly higher than expected, but as more trials were conducted, the experimental probability became closer to the theoretical probability.

So, theoretical probability is what we expect to happen, where experimental probability is what actually happens when we try it out. As more trials are conducted, the experimental probability generally gets closer to the theoretical probability.

This is not applicable. A quarter has 2 sides. That’s a 50% 50% per toss. We are talking a 97% 3% per toss. Not out of 10 or 20. Per toss.

Primmer79

When asked about the probability of a coin landing on heads, you would probably answer that the chance is ½ or 50%.
Imagine that you toss that same coin 10 times. How many times would you expect it to land on heads? You might say, 50% of the time, or half of the 10 times. So you would expect it to land on heads 5 times. This is the theoretical probability.

The theoretical probability is what you expect to happen, but it isn't always what actually happens.
Let's say you toss a coin 10 times and get following data:
HEADS: 7
TAILS: 3
The experimental probability of landing on heads in this case is 70%

It actually landed on heads more times than we expected.

Now, we continue to toss the same coin for 50 total tosses.
HEADS: 27
TAILS: 23
The experimental probability of landing on heads is 54%

The probability is still slightly higher than expected, but as more trials were conducted, the experimental probability became closer to the theoretical probability.

So, theoretical probability is what we expect to happen, where experimental probability is what actually happens when we try it out. As more trials are conducted, the experimental probability generally gets closer to the theoretical probability.
This is not applicable. A quarter has 2 sides. That’s a 50% 50% per toss. We are talking a 97% 3% per toss. Not out of 10 or 20. Per toss.

Totally applicable, just approaching different numbers. In this case you could have a 90% 10% split after 10 attacks. You could keep attacking and that number will eventually (theoretically) get closer to the theoretical split of 3% 97%

CaptainGame

When asked about the probability of a coin landing on heads, you would probably answer that the chance is ½ or 50%.
Imagine that you toss that same coin 10 times. How many times would you expect it to land on heads? You might say, 50% of the time, or half of the 10 times. So you would expect it to land on heads 5 times. This is the theoretical probability.

The theoretical probability is what you expect to happen, but it isn't always what actually happens.
Let's say you toss a coin 10 times and get following data:
HEADS: 7
TAILS: 3
The experimental probability of landing on heads in this case is 70%

It actually landed on heads more times than we expected.

Now, we continue to toss the same coin for 50 total tosses.
HEADS: 27
TAILS: 23
The experimental probability of landing on heads is 54%

The probability is still slightly higher than expected, but as more trials were conducted, the experimental probability became closer to the theoretical probability.

So, theoretical probability is what we expect to happen, where experimental probability is what actually happens when we try it out. As more trials are conducted, the experimental probability generally gets closer to the theoretical probability.
This is not applicable. A quarter has 2 sides. That’s a 50% 50% per toss. We are talking a 97% 3% per toss. Not out of 10 or 20. Per toss.
Totally applicable, just approaching different numbers. In this case you could have a 90% 10% split after 10 attacks. You could keep attacking and that number will eventually (theoretically) get closer to the theoretical split of 3% 97%

That’s inconsistent rates then. The evade is a 3% chance per hit. Not 3 for every 100 hits. You’re over complicating simple percentages.

Kabam Miike

Dredging up posts from 2018 is Necrobumping, and that's not allowed. We're not starting this argument again. Take a look through if you must, because they're a lot of good info about Probabilities, but there's nothing deceptive about BW.