I opened 300,000 6* Shards on featured Crystals and got...
GeneralMerce
Member Posts: 236 ★★
- Crystal odds of rolling a featured champion is ~29% (considering 6* Wolverine a featured)
- 4 of 20 pulls were featured (20%)
4 x Symbiote Supreme
2 x Shocker *
2 x Future Ant-Man *
2 x Colossus
2 x Thor Jane Foster
2 x Yellow Jacket
1 x Hela
1 x Super Skrull
1 x Cyclops
1 x Cable
1 x Annihilus
1 x Red Skull
Pretty annoyed I didn't get Zemo since thats who I wanted to roll. Shocker is proving to be a BG beast for both offense and defense.
FAM will be interesting on defense
- 4 of 20 pulls were featured (20%)
4 x Symbiote Supreme
2 x Shocker *
2 x Future Ant-Man *
2 x Colossus
2 x Thor Jane Foster
2 x Yellow Jacket
1 x Hela
1 x Super Skrull
1 x Cyclops
1 x Cable
1 x Annihilus
1 x Red Skull
Pretty annoyed I didn't get Zemo since thats who I wanted to roll. Shocker is proving to be a BG beast for both offense and defense.
FAM will be interesting on defense
10
Comments
x2 K Bish
x1 Shock
So that’s like 3/8 = 37.50%
CGR x3
Jane Foster x3
FAM* x2
Cassie* x2
Annihilus x2
Doctor Strange x2
Red Skull
Masacre
Cable
She Hulk
Sym Supreme
Hela
Yellow Jacket
Purgatory
I hope we can turn our luck around!
Every featured, there always seems to be one champion that I don't want but keep pulling. Looks like Purgatory is it for this crystal.
A rough estimate would be the point where the square root of the expected number of drops divided by the expected number of drops is about 0.034 (1/29). That would be when I would expect about 841 drops. Which would be about 2880 crystals.
100 crystals, by comparison, is a very small sample. The expected margin for error with 100 crystals would be something like 19%. The margin for 20 crystals is like 42%. In other words, the statistical average for 20 crystals would be 5.8 drops or about 6. But I would expect about 95% of the players attempting this experiment with 20 crystals to range from about 3 to about 8. And a significant number would fall outside even that wide range.
Four is well within the expected variability for twenty crystals.
Wolverine (1 of 2 I didn't own)
Cassie Lang (duped my r4)
Taskmaster
Kate Bishop (2 of 2 I didn't own)
3 of my top 3 and one bust. Only 52k spend. Happy happy happh
Sad thing is that unless i find rank-up gems I'm more apt to save rank up mats for 7*s than get this guy up past r2. Such is the state of the game now i suppose.
to my quantum team, 3 more to go. already got 6* ghost.