# Has this happened to anyone?

TheHoodedDormammu
Posts:

**1,202**★★★
This is the weirdest thing that happened to me:

A week ago, I opened a 4 star crystal and got a Daredevil Classic

A few days ago, I opened another 4 star crystal and duped my Daredevil Classic

Today, I opened another 4 star crystal and got ANOTHER Daredevil classic!!!

Has anything like this ever happened to you?

A week ago, I opened a 4 star crystal and got a Daredevil Classic

A few days ago, I opened another 4 star crystal and duped my Daredevil Classic

Today, I opened another 4 star crystal and got ANOTHER Daredevil classic!!!

Has anything like this ever happened to you?

5

## Comments

480★★2,956Guardian1,202★★★well, im getting another 4 star crystal soon. Lets see if I get another Daredevi Classic!

1,202★★★1,006★★★133★198★RNG my A-- (donkey)

762★★111★26,283★★★★★6,482Administrator ›39Hey Mike doin quick maths here, the odds are so low that I will check it out if its not a bug (0,0000000064% chance) being very conservative. The chance of being a bug in the algorithim is higher for sure.

26,283★★★★★110And he/she didn't quit his/her job? Sorry

1,737★★★★On a side note, support staff have acknowledged that there is supposedly something in the algorithm which raises the odds to duplicate champs and was designed to aid people in getting dupes (just bad luck when they are bad champs) but I had it happen with both good and bad champs (magneto and sw to name two opposite ends of the spectrum) then again the support staff aren’t usually the most reliable source of info, but it would be very strange for them to know about this algorithm if it didn’t exist

2,353★★★★4,136★★★★★Are those the current odds or the odds at the time it happened? If it happened over a year ago before 26 more champs were in the pool then the odds are far greater. The odds are even greater if it happened two years ago.

@Speeds80 You have the source for that? I think the interpretation of what was communicated is off.

159Even if there were only 50 champs in the crystal at that time the odds of it happening are amazing: 0.00000000000128.

Like dude should have bought a lotto ticket amazing.

26,283★★★★★The odds are the same for every opening. The statistical probability in the example I gave is literally 0.02% everytime. You could literally roll the same Champ 100 times in a row. Yes, it becomes more rare the more times in a row, but not impossible. RNG does not take into account the previous outcomes. I'm not entertaining the conspiracy theory that pulls are altered based on previous ones. If you're using responses from Support as valid argument, I'm afraid you're not aware of how valid that argument is. Lol.

826★★Actually that's not true at all. Your right that the odds of the crystal are always the same (they are independent thus the odds of the next pull is not changed by the first... but you CAN calculate the odds of pulling the same exact champ 5 times in a row assuming you know the odds of pulling that champ (its really simple math actually... if you like I would do it out long form for you?).

Here is a post that explains it in a very simple way that might help you:

2,956GuardianI think what he is saying you can statistically come up with a number for the odds of two separate events happening, if given the odds of both events. And you're saying thats not possible. Its a stats question, not a game question.

His second paragraph is the game comment

26,283★★★★★Yes I was talking about the odds themselves. You could calculate the statistical probability of anything, really. As with anything in life, it has a randomness that doesn't always make sense on paper. Lol.

26Moderator ›This is a story that gets told around the office a lot and gets bigger each time. It was actually the first 9 4-stars I acquired out of 24 were Black Panther. Not 7 in a row, but I did have some consecutive BPs. At the time we checked and I was one of the fastest (top 10) to a max sig 4-Star based on number of 4-Stars to achieve it.

Notes:

* This was before Black Panther was buffed. (Increased bleed stuff)

* You couldn't link a special 2 out of his medium or light attack because of the start up animation (later fixed)

* This was before Deep Wounds mastery existed.

* You can tell by my avatar who I really wanted as a 4-star.

* I still don't have a 4-Star or 5-Star Iron Man T_T

* I still work here.

2,956GuardianCompletely wrong... if you have two specific odds for specific (unrelated) events, there is an acceptable mathematical way to represent the odds of both events happening. Not to mention true random cannot happen in programming.

3,460★★★★26,283★★★★★RNG is a quasi-random. Yes. In the case of the 4/5* Basics, there's no drop rates, so it's closer to a true random.

When did I argue that you couldn't calculate it? I said it doesn't always make sense. Hence "How is it possible to pull the same Champ 3 times?". I feel like this is a needless argument.

2,956Guardianscroll back. someone gave a rough calculation that i believe was just exaggerating saying it had a very very small chance, and you started arguing that they cant be additive or multiplied.

1,774★★★★you're actually wrong here. It's probability just like flipping a coin. you got a 50% chance of landing heads, but what are the chances of you flipping the coin heads twice in a row. it's 25%. and three times 1/8th, etc