Arena Cutoffs - What the Heck?
Dragonfei
Member Posts: 263 ★★
I know we're all a bit distracted with the Vision offer that just came out, but is anyone else mystified as to what happened with arena cutoffs this past round? Not only did Proxima have an unheard of catastrophic drop in score (50.4 million to 16~ million) for cutoffs, but look at the discrepancy in those two pictures.
30 million difference in only 30 spots? So thirty people scored between those two scores and that's it? Even with the hype surrounding her?
To a lesser extent, the 4* cutoffs mystify me just as much. Not only did she increase from round one to round two (not something we've seen in the past three "new" features - Sentinel, Sabertooth, Bishop), there are more than 65 spots stuffed in 200k worth of cutoff.
14.03 million didn't get her. Placement was 865.
14.23 million and higher DID get her.
Something feels off, because this bucks all of the arena trends that we have been seeing over the past few months since the 5* arena was released. It not only bucks it, it kicks it out the window, down about 100 stories to fall into a pit of lava.
Anyone else think this is weird?
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Comments
Cutoffs to get the 5* featured were reported to be 53,200,000
Cutoffs for the 4* are reported at 14,745,982
Or it's just a troll post where someone photoshopped the 5 in 23 million to make it look like a 2.
So multiple people are photoshopping?
Its all guess work, simple thing is not as many put up the grind for the second round as the first.
It is unusual, but such dramatic drop offs have happened in the past. Scores are not determined by math. Scores are determined by psychology. Sometimes, when a first round score is very low, the second round is very high because the initial low score attracts a lot of attention and encourages more players to try in the second round. Conversely, sometimes when the first round score is very high, it discourages players from trying as much in the second round and the scores drop, simply because fewer people are pushing as hard.
When Iceman was the 4* featured he went for over 14 million in the first round, back when that was a really high score. He only went for 10 million in round two, possibly because the 14 million discouraged enough players from trying in round two.
Also, most people know they aren't going to (ordinarily) get into the top 150, just like in the past most players knew they were not going to be able to get into the top 800 with 4* featured. In the 4* arena the data suggested that only about 1000 players seriously shot for the 4* featured champ: scores dropped dramatically past that point. Something similar is probably happening in the 5* featured arena: only about 200 to maybe 250 players are seriously trying. So it only takes a small number of them to decide to drop out to make the cut off plummet.