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Side Quest event

UnyonfaceUnyonface Posts: 519 ★★★
I have 2 accounts that I play on in MCoC. My main account I ran the side event and out of 8 runs, 5 of them were to path A. I’m on my mini account and out of 6 runs so far, 4 have been to path A. RNG? I don’t think so. On 1 account I would believe it, but not on both…

Comments

  • UsagicassidyUsagicassidy Posts: 1,048 ★★★★
    It’s not like every path has the same % of possibility. That’s not how it’s designed.

    If every single run out of the 30-40 runs you can do have you a 20% chance of an awakening gem or 1,000 7 star shards? Cmon now.
  • MrSakuragiMrSakuragi Posts: 3,907 ★★★★★
    You hit path A on 9 out of 14 runs between the two accounts, 64%. The monthly communication says path A probability is 60%. That is very close. 🤷‍♂️
  • UnyonfaceUnyonface Posts: 519 ★★★
    Like I said, if it happened on 1 account, I’d believe it, but it’s happening on both accounts to path A….
  • JollyHawkJollyHawk Posts: 534 ★★★
    A+ trolling
  • UnyonfaceUnyonface Posts: 519 ★★★

    You hit path A on 9 out of 14 runs between the two accounts, 64%. The monthly communication says path A probability is 60%. That is very close. 🤷‍♂️

    Thank you for putting it in a better perspective. Your answer makes it more believable based on percentages.
  • Shamir51Shamir51 Posts: 849 ★★★★
    Unyonface said:

    I have 2 accounts that I play on in MCoC. My main account I ran the side event and out of 8 runs, 5 of them were to path A. I’m on my mini account and out of 6 runs so far, 4 have been to path A. RNG? I don’t think so. On 1 account I would believe it, but not on both…


    On one of my accounts, I’ve hit path A 19 times out of 24. On another account, I’ve got path A 20 times. On my main it’s been 13 times. But I’ve not reached for my tin foil hat. It’s rng.

    You understand that path A has a 60% chance? And path B has only a 25% chance with the others an even smaller chance? Each run is completely unconditional of the ones that went before it. Just because you’ve got path A 8 straight times doesn’t change the fact that the chance to get it on run 9 is still 60%.
  • UnyonfaceUnyonface Posts: 519 ★★★
    Shamir51 said:

    Unyonface said:

    I have 2 accounts that I play on in MCoC. My main account I ran the side event and out of 8 runs, 5 of them were to path A. I’m on my mini account and out of 6 runs so far, 4 have been to path A. RNG? I don’t think so. On 1 account I would believe it, but not on both…


    On one of my accounts, I’ve hit path A 19 times out of 24. On another account, I’ve got path A 20 times. On my main it’s been 13 times. But I’ve not reached for my tin foil hat. It’s rng.

    You understand that path A has a 60% chance? And path B has only a 25% chance with the others an even smaller chance? Each run is completely unconditional of the ones that went before it. Just because you’ve got path A 8 straight times doesn’t change the fact that the chance to get it on run 9 is still 60%.
    I do now, thank you for explaining it.
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