No one knows the cutoff yet. I usually go with craftygrinding's (youtube) predictions as he's the most accurate as far as i know. Him and Brian Grant's predictions are usually around 0 to 200k apart. Both predicted around 3 million. Makes sense since defenders (Thing) have historically gone lower than attackers (Aegon, ~3.5 mil)
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Although would not be surprised if he went out as low as 3.2