AW win streaks

TChalllaTChallla Member Posts: 85 ★
in General Discussion
So we just won our 18th war in a row and went “undefeated” last AW season. Partly because we are a new alliance with some skilled players I’m sure but we’ve been running silver 2 for a while now and still haven’t lost a war in a couple of months.

It’s bound to happen eventually but I started noticing when we hit 10 and we just keep going.

Is it a long streak? Anyone else have a long run of wins similar?

Comments

  • TChalllaTChallla Member Posts: 85 ★
    Thanks for the insight
  • xNigxNig Member Posts: 7,336 ★★★★★
    Win streaks are bound to happen, especially for new alliances, until you hit your equilibrium war rating where you’ll have roughly the same win/loss wars if all else stays equal.

    Simply put, let’s say a 3k war rating ally starts a new one, they’ll go for a 30-40 war win streak at least before arriving back at their equilibrium ratings.
  • klobberintymeklobberintyme Member Posts: 1,687 ★★★★
    TChallla said:

    So we just won our 18th war in a row and went “undefeated” last AW season. Partly because we are a new alliance with some skilled players I’m sure but we’ve been running silver 2 for a while now and still haven’t lost a war in a couple of months.

    It’s bound to happen eventually but I started noticing when we hit 10 and we just keep going.

    Is it a long streak? Anyone else have a long run of wins similar?

    18 war win streak in silver 2? let's do some fun math:

    18 x 45 (average pts per win added to war rating)= 810

    Silver 2 alliance range: 1250-1045 (estimated from silver 2 rank 1 to silver 2 rank 3000)

    Assuming you won the max 12 wars in the season plus the 5 so far in the offseason, your streak started right before season 12. If you were running 3 bgs, your score for 12 season wins should have put you in at least gold 2.

    Analysis: unless you started at a rating of 200 something doesn't add up. Win streaks are fun, tho, even if you run 1 bg and play every other war.


  • TChalllaTChallla Member Posts: 85 ★
    klobberintyme said:

    TChallla said:

    So we just won our 18th war in a row and went “undefeated” last AW season. Partly because we are a new alliance with some skilled players I’m sure but we’ve been running silver 2 for a while now and still haven’t lost a war in a couple of months.

    It’s bound to happen eventually but I started noticing when we hit 10 and we just keep going.

    Is it a long streak? Anyone else have a long run of wins similar?

    18 war win streak in silver 2? let's do some fun math:

    18 x 45 (average pts per win added to war rating)= 810

    Silver 2 alliance range: 1250-1045 (estimated from silver 2 rank 1 to silver 2 rank 3000)

    Assuming you won the max 12 wars in the season plus the 5 so far in the offseason, your streak started right before season 12. If you were running 3 bgs, your score for 12 season wins should have put you in at least gold 2.

    Analysis: unless you started at a rating of 200 something doesn't add up. Win streaks are fun, tho, even if you run 1 bg and play every other war.


    thanks for all your speculation.
  • TChalllaTChallla Member Posts: 85 ★
    xNig said:

    Win streaks are bound to happen, especially for new alliances, until you hit your equilibrium war rating where you’ll have roughly the same win/loss wars if all else stays equal.

    Simply put, let’s say a 3k war rating ally starts a new one, they’ll go for a 30-40 war win streak at least before arriving back at their equilibrium ratings.

    That’s what I figured but we are at 19 now, we a due to get roughed up.
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