Half of my 6* roster is science. What are these odds?

Austin555555

What are the odds of this even happening.

MarshMarlo

16.67%

Iron_Patriot_is_lit

1/162.

I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.

Lmao

Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

1/162.

I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.

I don't think it's 1/162. Shouldn't it be 0.019897

shield456

Austin555555 said:

What are the odds of this even happening.

Can u show ur whole roster if u don't mind ☺ just interested

Iron_Patriot_is_lit

Lmao said:

Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

1/162.

I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.

I don't think it's 1/162. Shouldn't it be 0.019897

169 champs available as 6*s. 7 are not in the basic yet.

Lmao

Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

Lmao said:

Iron_Patriot_is_lit said:

1/162.

I think if you’re specifically talking about the hulk pull.

I don't think it's 1/162. Shouldn't it be 0.019897

169 champs available as 6*s. 7 are not in the basic yet.

But he's asking what are the odds of pulling 5 science champs right? not just the hulk

Thicco_Mode

4/7
I win

GroundedWisdom

The odds are one thing. The amount this occurs is another. It's very common for Rosters to lean to one side, or not lean to another. Eventually, they fill in.

Nojokejaym

GroundedWisdom said:

The odds are one thing. The amount this occurs is another. It's very common for Rosters to lean to one side, or not lean to another. Eventually, they fill in.

What if they never fill in......... 😱

Harpener

Out of my 9 6 stars 5 are mutants and I managed to dupe one of the useless mutants so I consider that even worse.

ShiroMikazuki

i have 0 6 stars but i do have 10 5 stars and 5 of them of science, 3 mystic 1 skill and 1 tech

SneakyWarrior

Thicco_Mode said:

4/7
I win

your six star roster is crazy good. joe fixit and cyclops

Push

Assuming independence of event:
P(4 of 7 science) =
= P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
= P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

Etm34

Of my 62 six stars, only 7 of them are science. 12 tech, 11 mutant, 11 skill, 10 cosmic, 11 mystic.
The more you open, the more it starts to even out.

Lmao

Push said:

Assuming independence of event:
P(4 of 7 science) =
= P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
= P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused

Kill_Grey

Lmao said:

Push said:

Assuming independence of event:
P(4 of 7 science) =
= P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
= P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused

Poisson distribution > binomial distribution

Lmao

Kill_Grey said:

Lmao said:

Push said:

Assuming independence of event:
P(4 of 7 science) =
= P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
= P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused

Poisson distribution > binomial distribution

This isn’t a poisson distribution tho

Kill_Grey

Lmao said:

Kill_Grey said:

Lmao said:

Push said:

Assuming independence of event:
P(4 of 7 science) =
= P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
= P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused

Poisson distribution > binomial distribution

This isn’t a poisson distribution tho

Or whatever it's called, lol.

Spurgeon14

This happened with me when I was first pulling 5*s...the more you pull, the more it should balance out among the classes.

Doctorwho13

I have 10 and 5 are mutants. I feel your pain. Not a single science actually. 2 skill, one cosmic and one mystic and one tech.

Elhadjee

If you wanna talk about pain hear me out. I have around 40 6* and only one cosmic which is Gamora and guess what?

I have 2 cosmic t5CCs for more than 6 months now.One from first abyss run,the other from map7 etc.

FiiNCH

From the title I thought this was a joke post and you had 2 6* champions

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Colinwhitworth69

My roster was like this at first, heavy on science and cosmic six stars, lacking any tech. Now it has mostly evened out, although science and cosmic are still ahead of the other classes.

All of these probability discussions are meaningless in terms of what you can expect to happen to you, BTW.

World Eater

I had the same issue and pulled 5 techs out of my first 9-10 6*s

Nebula
green goblin
Yondu
Vulture
Nebula

Push

You’re right. Essentially, a binomial distribution expands into this one if the the probabilities are the same and if I took the combinations into account.

I was thinking about how long it takes to get a 6* and how the crystal values changed.

A binomial with current odds is probably a decent estimate though.

Lmao said:

Push said:

Assuming independence of event:
P(4 of 7 science) =
= P(sci)^4 * P(!sci)^3
= P(#of science in crystal / # in crystal)^4 *
P(1 - (#Sci / #crystal))^3

Why would you use this equation instead of a binomial distribution equation? I'm kinda confused

Moosetiptronic

Only one mutant and no science from my 16. Sitting on 50k shards and a rank 1 to 2 science gem and so reluctant to open them for fear of deep disappointment.. 4 cosmic and 4 tech?!

img src="https://us.v-cdn.net/6029252/uploads/editor/um/aan72tcoy3b9.jpg" alt="" />

SaltE_Wenis69

Austin555555 said:

What are the odds of this even happening.

If I had that roaster I would not care at all

Wardizzle

I mean I've opened 10 6 stars and pulled 8 skill, so this isn't that crazy. I pulled stealthy twice though so I can't freally complain.