Alliance Tier and Rank improvement

Hi all

I'm currently in a solid gold 1 alliance with an expected point total at the end of the 6,600,000 points at tier 6. We currently have an alliance war rating of 2210 and want to make plat one next season. I was estimating that Tier 5 was at 2300 war rating and that would give us the points to push to plat 4. If we were to win our next war and the off-season wars since were not tier 5 we gain score during off-season we could push to tier 5 is this possible or am I bad at math. For context we are gaining 50 rating per win and with half change on off season we should be gaining/ losing 25 with 4 matches in the 2 week off season.
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