Looking for PHC data...

StefffStefff Posts: 121
Hey guys. We've all wondered: What are the odds of pulling a 4* from a PHC? No one knows for sure. We hear numbers like 1/40 or 1/50 or 1/100, but what are the odds really? Well, we can figure it out. If anyone has done a big PHC opening recently, I'd love to hear:
1. How many crystals were opened
2. How many 4*s were obtained
3. How many 3*s were obtained

If we get enough responses, we'll be able to determine the effective odds of pulling a 4*. Please try to keep your responses exact.

Comments

  • JSnookJSnook Posts: 219
    1. 64 PHCs
    2. 57 - 2*
    3. 7 - 3*
    4. 0 - 4*

    If you would like to go further (Guardians of the Galaxy Crystals)

    1. 25 Crystals
    2. 23 - 2*
    3. 2 - 3*
    4. 0 - 4*

    These are the ones I actually tracked on a spreadsheet over the course of a week and half. There were others opened in the timeframe (probably 50) that resulted in 2*, but I didn't record them so it didn't happen. My last 4* from PHC was BPCW on April 5th.
  • djmindblazerdjmindblazer Posts: 76
    it's about 6month i have gotten 0 4* from phc
  • DrZolaDrZola Posts: 6,822 ★★★★★
    Compilation from a couple of mates:

    1646 opened
    184 3*
    12 4*

    That was a combined shard and full PHC compilation. But I think it's a big enough sample to give you an idea of the drop rates.

    Cheers!

    Dr. Zola
  • DJRipsterDJRipster Posts: 169
    edited May 2017
    1% has been somewhat accurate for me in the past 4 months

    Here are my drop rates for the past 4 months

    2* 3* 4*
    88% 11% 1%
    92% 7% 1%
    93% 6% 1%
    90% 9% 1%
  • winterthurwinterthur Posts: 6,902 ★★★★★
    10 GotG crystals, opened at one go, 3 3*s.
  • StefffStefff Posts: 121
    DJRipster wrote: »
    1% has been somewhat accurate for me in the past 4 months

    Here are my drop rates for the past 4 months

    2* 3* 4*
    88% 11% 1%
    92% 7% 1%
    93% 6% 1%
    90% 9% 1%

    Do you happen to have the exact numbers of crystals opened? I need that data to calculate statistical significance.
  • RapRap Posts: 3,143 ★★★★
    I was having better luck than that for a time with 3 stars. But since the guardians event started it seems like suddenly I am hitting only 2s. I have the 2* Groot level 6 and I also have gotten exactly 2 3*s from the Guardians crystals. Wondering if they tweaked the content ahead of the 4 and 5 crystals and reduced the 3 and 4s?
  • RapRap Posts: 3,143 ★★★★
    I was popping 2 to 3 three stars an arena and was getting the max sig crystal a lot which was boosting my 4 star crystal build to about one a week...now I am at two weeks to build one.
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