Some Math for BG Milestones Grind (Season 12)

ClynevaClyneva Member Posts: 78 ★★
As someone who doesn't do a lot of BG, I was curious what the milestone grind looked like for this month, so here's some general calculations. This is assuming you've hit equilibrium in your climb (50% win rate). Naturally, higher win rates will speed things up, and lower win rates will slow you down:

Assumptions:
Win Rate: 50%
Total Earnable Elder's Mark (EM) Per Season: 3000 (VT) + 3400 (Alliance)=6400 EM
Avg Points Per Match (EM) => 9000 per 2 matches (1 win + 1 loss) = 4500 points per match
Avg Points Per Match (Energy) => 1500 per 2 matches (1 win + 1 loss) = 750 points per match


All milestones using only EM:
450000/4500 = 100 matches
=> x90 = 9000 EM
All milestones using only Energy:
450000/750 = 600 matches
=> x15 = 9000 Energy

Using all EM available this season (6400) first:
4500 * 6400/90 = 320000 Points from EM (71.11 Matches)
450000 - 320000 = 130000 Points Missing
Missing points with Energy:
130000/750 = 173.33 Matches
=> x15 = 2600 energy ~ 10.8 days natural regen or 37.14 Refills or 1114 units
Missing points with EM (bought):
130000/4500 = 28.8 matches
=> x90 = 2600 EM missing
=> x(135units/315EM) = 1114.28 units

Using EM available from VT only (3000):
4500 * 3000/90 = 150000 Points from EM (33.33 Matches)
450000 - 150000 = 300000 Points Missing
Missing points with Energy:
300000/750 = 400 Matches
=> x15 = 6000 energy ~ 25 days natural regen or 85.71 Refills or 2571 units
Missing points with EM (bought):
300000/4500 = 66.67 matches
=> x90 = 6000 EM missing
=> x(135units/315EM) = 2571.43 units

A couple thoughts:
-Unsurprisingly, EM saves you a lot of time and matches. Best case scenario is if you carried over around 2600 EM from the previous season and your alliance can hit all the milestones, at which point you'll need around 100 matches total to hit all the milestone (~3.4 matches a day).

-If you don't have any EM from the previous season, but you have a good alliance, you can still hit the milestone without spending units if you're willing to dedicate about 36% of your daily energy to the grind (2.4 EM matches + 5.8 energy matches a day). If you don't have an alliance, you'll have to spend 80% of your daily energy (1.1 EM matches + 13.3 energy matches a day) in BG.

-If you're looking to spend units to fill out the missing points, the cost is actually identical regardless if you buy energy refills or EM. So go with EM to save yourself hundreds of matches.

Comments

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  • FrostGiantLordFrostGiantLord Member Posts: 2,063 ★★★★
    @DNA3000 would be proud of this man's work 😎

  • ZADO1991ZADO1991 Member Posts: 109
    Some very much-needed calculations. Thank you op!
  • ShashankGuptaShashankGupta Member Posts: 489 ★★
    You are Totally Wrong. Match win with elder Marks give 6750 points because we get 4500 points to win match and 2250 points for completing the Match
  • ClynevaClyneva Member Posts: 78 ★★

    You are Totally Wrong. Match win with elder Marks give 6750 points because we get 4500 points to win match and 2250 points for completing the Match

    As I mentioned at the start, this is assuming a 50% win/loss ratio. So over two matches you'll have:
    (1 win (6750 points ) + 1 Loss (2250 points))/2 = 9000/2 = 4500 points per match on average.
  • DarknessFallsDarknessFalls Member Posts: 163 ★★
    After 20 straight losses at platinum 1, not sure that 50% win rate really works. Didn't knew the game had so many legend players.
  • CASrinivasCASrinivas Member Posts: 994 ★★★
    edited October 2023
    Nice Work! Its on the Assumption that we het a 50% Win Ratio....
    But in Higher Tiers like Vibranium and GC, its not the Case...atleast for peole who are Thronebreaker & down!
    We lose like 8 Matches Win 2 Matches in GC.....
    I am saying about someone with a Limited Roster or someone like me with one R3 6 Star and 10 R2 6 stars and 3 R5 5 Stars.
    So inorder for us to hit all Milestone, we have to get lucky or Farm some points, which Kabam has Banned us from doing
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