What are the odds of this?!

MaynardJ4193MaynardJ4193 Member Posts: 27


Too bad it wasn't the thronebreaker crystals I guess.

Comments

  • MaynardJ4193MaynardJ4193 Member Posts: 27
    Decided to calculate.

    0.02% for 1. Out of 10 crystals, that's 0.2%
    Then, 0.18% for second pull out of remaining 9 crystals.

    So 0.036% to get 2 in a 10 pop. 3.6 in 10,000.

    I initially thought it would be less likely, but still cool to see.
  • CrcrcrcCrcrcrc Member Posts: 7,993 ★★★★★
    Seeing if I remember stats here, sorry if i’m wrong. Using a binomial distribution equation, the probability of that happening in 10 pulls is roughly 0.00018%, which is about 565 times more likely than winning the lottery.
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