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What are the odds of this?!
MaynardJ4193
Member
Posts:
27
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February 19
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General Discussion
Too bad it wasn't the thronebreaker crystals I guess.
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MaynardJ4193
Member
Posts:
27
★
February 19
Decided to calculate.
0.02% for 1. Out of 10 crystals, that's 0.2%
Then, 0.18% for second pull out of remaining 9 crystals.
So 0.036% to get 2 in a 10 pop. 3.6 in 10,000.
I initially thought it would be less likely, but still cool to see.
0
Crcrcrc
Member
Posts:
7,993
★★★★★
February 19
Seeing if I remember stats here, sorry if i’m wrong. Using a binomial distribution equation, the probability of that happening in 10 pulls is roughly 0.00018%, which is about 565 times more likely than winning the lottery.
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0.02% for 1. Out of 10 crystals, that's 0.2%
Then, 0.18% for second pull out of remaining 9 crystals.
So 0.036% to get 2 in a 10 pop. 3.6 in 10,000.
I initially thought it would be less likely, but still cool to see.