**Mastery Loadouts**
Due to issues related to the release of Mastery Loadouts, the "free swap" period will be extended.
The new end date will be May 1st.
Due to issues related to the release of Mastery Loadouts, the "free swap" period will be extended.
The new end date will be May 1st.
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Just cos the fgmc is new makes no difference at all, they are basically saying you can have the feature as long as drop £££, however if you saved shards then no sorry you gotta wait 3 months for a shot at it
"Now that our number one whales have gotten their featured the smaller fishes are getting hungry and want their cut what shall we do?" "Make them pay!"
So waiting is not an option if people want it? No one says we have to have it the moment it comes out. In any case, there could be a Featured Arena in the works, so let's wait and see what comes.
Not everbody. Good point
So true
@Kabam Miike I dont mean to offend the team's decision, but can we please have proof or footage?Because to mymopinion and the opinion of many others this is not a suitable list.
I don't see how that's relevant to the post you quoted. The idea of the post you quoted that is relevant here is that since 5* shards - the "currency" we use to buy featured 5* crystals - is now much easier to acquire and amass, the things we buy with that currency should be reexamined relative to that new situation. In net effect, the 5* featured crystal is several times cheaper than it used to be.
The featured GMC is something we buy with units, and if Kabam changed the game in such a way that units became five times easier to get than now I would fully expect the things we buy with units to be reevaluated if not rebalanced.
For example (if there were going to be no featured crystal changes), I am trying to decide if I want to purchase the featured 5* crystal for Medusa, but I don't know what champs will be released before I am able to recuperate the shards spent. Will I pay for a shot at Medusa thereby not giving myself a chance at the next featured 5*?
Now with this change, it is less risky for me to go for Medusa, since if a good champ comes out after her, then I have 3 months to save shards. In addition, since the new crystal will run for 3 months instead of a week, then I will have a lot more info on which to base my purchase.
That's unwarranted. If you want to play who has an actual brain, then deal me in.
If you specifically want one, and only one of the champions in the new featured crystal, then the odds of pulling that one champion are one in twenty four. Different players earn 5* shards at different rates, but it isn't hard to save up four to six shots at a featured crystal in three months. If you take six shots at the new featured, the odds of pulling a single champion you want at least once are about 23%. That's roughly the same as the odds of pulling featured with the current featured crystal in one pull now.
So if you believe that there's "no chance" at a specific champion in the new featured crystal, and you believe you have to not have a brain to think you have any significant chance at one specific champion, then you also believe anyone who opens only one current featured crystal to take their chances is even more brainless than that.
That's the numbers. But @MarzGroove wasn't actually talking about the specific chances to pull a particular champion. Marz was talking about buyers remorse. If you spend all of your shards shooting for a champion you want, you could be depleted entirely when another champion comes around that you will have no shot at. Now, with the current crystal that isn't as much of a problem as Marz was suggesting because of crystal reruns. But when you go all in on brains, it would be a good idea to not miss the point of the post you're replying to, and then do so in a way that's also factually incorrect.
You can't add probabilities like that, but that's besides the point. If your one and only reason to purchase a featured crystal is to get a shot at one, and only one champion, and all other champions are considered worthless, then the new crystal is obviously less valuable than the current one. That's not in dispute, and anyone disputing it is mathematically illiterate.
But that's an extremely narrow way to look at the crystal. If that is the one and only way someone intends to look at it, this thread is of no use to them. Kabam isn't reversing the decision because there are a lot of reasons for making the change that are completely outside that perspective, and Kabam isn't adopting it. The question of whether the crystal offers a better or worse chance to pull one single featured champion is settled, and also moot.
Outside of that very narrow perspective, there are other ways to look at the value of the new crystal. First, not everyone only cares about getting one specific champion. So the value of the crystal has to be evaluated relative to its net value relative to the net value of the current crystal. Admittedly, with their initial curated basic champions and the value of the most recent featured champions, that value appears to be subjectively lower than a featured crystal with an extremely high demand champion. But the contents will change over time and comparing it to the absolute best current featured crystals isn't entirely fair, because many of the current-style featured crystals also contained much lower value.
The other thing to consider is that we are getting far more 5* shards than when the featured crystal was first introduced. Statistically speaking, even if all you care about is targeting one single champion out of the entire crystal, your odds of pulling that one champion are about the same for both crystals if the number of shots you take at the new crystal is about five times higher than the number of shots you took at the current version. And that number is roughly in the ballpark for how much more plentiful 5* shards are today than they were when the featured crystal was first introduced. Taken as a whole, it is not entirely clear to me that the situation is significantly worse. Five shots for a twenty percent chance at a specific featured plus you get four other 5* champions verses one shot at a twenty percent change at a specific featured.
Given a choice between the old featured and the new featured, I would choose the old featured. But that's not necessarily a choice anyone is allowed to have. If the new featured is part of the escalation of 5* availability, then the actual real choice was between the old crystal and the old restricted availability, and the new crystal combined with the new more plentiful availability. Given that choice, I would pick the higher availability and the new crystal. We are moving towards having the same chance at getting one specific champion, plus having a higher chance at getting better champions on average, *plus* getting more 5* champions in total. That's a net positive for everyone except the people who think they can ask to keep the massive increase in shards but lose everything else about the changes they don't like, like an ala carte buffet.
Getting back to the math. The odds of pulling a featured champ from the featured 5* crystal has been estimated to be about 20%. That means the odds of not pulling featured are 80%. The odds of not pulling one specific champion from the new crystal is 23/24 or about 95.8%. The odds of not pulling the featured even once out of N pulls is 1 - (23/24)^N. Therefore, the odds of pulling at least one featured champion is the same when 0.8 = (23/24)^N. Therefore N = log(0.8) / (log(23/24) = 5.2. The odds of pulling one specific champion from the new crystal is thus identical to the odds of pulling at least one featured from the current crystal when the number of tries with the new crystal is 5.2 times the number of tries with the current crystal.
The odds of pulling one specific champion from the new featured at least once out of 24 pulls is 64%. The odds are never equal to or higher than 100%, because there is always a chance for every single pull to fail, however small those odds might be. Counterbalanced against the apparently low odds are the odds of pulling more than one.
Lot of good points, but a couple things:
5* shards are more plentiful now than when first released, yes. They are not, however, much more plentiful than they were a month ago, and Kabam has not announced an increase to war rewards or anything like that to go with these changes to make them more plentiful in the future. Featured GMCs were also not a factor when 5*s were first introduced. That's a huge point your excellent math misses. GMCs are not going to be any cheaper in two months nor are units going to be any more plentiful, as near as I can tell. Notice Uncollected EQ rewards very pointedly do not include any units. This matters because the current balance of power is built very much on the old featured crystal, the current availability of shards, and the presence of FMGCs, not on what the game looked like when 5*s were brand new and new content wasn't built primarily for them.
You say we just have to accept that in the new system, it won't be possible to reliably go for a specific champion because it's just not what's intended. I say that's patently false, because the rich will just buy FGMCs until they do get exactly who they want, same as they do now, while the rest of us will no longer have a realistic hope of keeping up. Which means the spenders at the top of the game will just pull further and further away from the rest of us, because they will have access to power levels and game mechanics the rest of us will get on a 3-to-6-month delay (I say 6 in case a 5* basic arena comes up eventually), and only then unreliably. That's what really sucks about this. Not just that it makes things harder for us - 12.1 did that, the loss of block proficiency teams did that, and both were excellent overall moves for the game. What sucks here is how much it gives a further advantage to big spenders beyond what they already enjoy. That's brutally unfair and worth complaining about. I'm not comforted by getting about the same rate of great characters I was getting a year and a half ago if my war opponents are picking up shiny new attackers and defenders at about the same rate they are now. Can't you see how that's a huge problem?
Beyond that, rank up resources are more common now, but not so common that spending 4 t2a on someone like Rhino makes any sense. So for those of us unlucky enough to have not yet pulled more than one or two r4-worthy champions (luckily I'm not in this group, but several of my friends are), the choice is to either not complete content you know you can because the rewards will expire in your stash or to use those resources to make what everyone knows is a mistake, all because Kabam decided its free-to-play community had it too easy nowadays. And remember, this new unreliable crystal is still something we're expected to pay a 50% premium to have access to. 50% extra for a ~4% chance of who I want and then a bunch of mediocrity is a terrible deal relative to just pouring shards into basics, which means they've very nearly destroyed the feature crystal. Again, that leaves their paid cousins, and therefore screws anyone (not blessed with prodigious luck) who doesn't want to take out a second mortgage to compete at a high level.
And that is not good for the long-term health of this game.
When was it said that only 5* champions are eligible for 5* arena? The previous 4* featured arena allowed for 3* and 4* champions to be used, probably going to be the same for 5* arena where you can use 4* and 5* champions.
I want to know If with this change we won’t be able to get Killmonger and Gladiator Hulk From his single featured crystal or if we just will get them from the new crystal?
People want to know. Is that really so difficult to understand?
Possibly the stupidest thing I’ve read today.