A 1/5000 chance for a 5* Punisher, huh?

ZzyzxGuyZzyzxGuy Member Posts: 1,292 ★★★
in General Discussion
50M chips just to meet the odds...

Comments

  • DarkestDestroyerDarkestDestroyer Member Posts: 2,888 ★★★★★
    Why did you see those odds?
  • ZzyzxGuyZzyzxGuy Member Posts: 1,292 ★★★
    DarkestDestroyer wrote: »
    Why did you see those odds?

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  • KynnyKynny Member Posts: 104 ★
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    Wasn't no 50m
  • gannicus0830gannicus0830 Member Posts: 687 ★★★★
    Welcome to the nasty kabam truth. Sometimes ignorance really is bliss.
  • Brew_SwayneBrew_Swayne Member Posts: 500 ★★
    edited March 2018
    I dont think that is really how it works though.

    I've never looked at drop rates as applicable to each individual player, but the player base as a whole.

    So a 1/5000 drop rate doesn't guarantee that if I open 5000 UC Arena Crystals at once that I'm going to get 5* Punisher.

    But 1/5000 crystals opened by the player base will drop a 5* Punisher. Let's say that it's fixed so that every 5000th UCA Crystals being opened within the game drops Punisher. So if 6000 players world wide are collecting a UCA crystal at any given moment, you need to actually be that 5000th person to collect a UCA crystal and receive Punisher.

  • ZzyzxGuyZzyzxGuy Member Posts: 1,292 ★★★
    Brew_Swayne wrote: »
    I dont think that is really how it works though.

    I've never looked at drop rates as applicable to each individual player, but the player base as a whole.

    So a 1/5000 drop rate doesn't guarantee that if I open 5000 UC Arena Crystals at once that I'm going to get 5* Punisher.

    But 1/5000 crystals opened by the player base will drop a 5* Punisher. Let's say that it's fixed so that every 5000th UCA Crystals being opened within the game drops Punisher. So if 6000 players world wide are collecting a UCA crystal at any given moment, you need to actually be that 5000th person to collect a UCA crystal and receive Punisher.

    That's not how odds work...

    Everytime someone buys a crystal, a 5K sided die is rolled. The odds aren't cumulative.

    It's 1 in 5K. Every. Single. Time.
  • KynnyKynny Member Posts: 104 ★
    K and he's still been landed by a bunch of people not seeing the concern..

    He's rare
  • Jay_IberoJay_Ibero Member Posts: 265 ★
    Opening 5000 uncollected arena crystals would only give you about a 63% chance of getting 5* punisher at least once. 1-(.9998^5000).
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