These answers assume that only Cosmic was an unlucky draw... we need more information. Are all the other classes lucky pulls?
Technically, he traded in an AG, and he got an AG, so the odds of that happening are 100%.
I always say the probability for anything is 50%. It either will happen or it won’t. Plain and simple
The odds that you're correct are only 50%.
You would think that, but once something happens, the odds of it happening were 100%, because it happened. Consequently, I already made my statement, so the odds of it happening were 100%. A Schrödinger’s cat situation, truly
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