Forget About Pulling 4* from PHC, here is proof !!!!

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Comments

  • MattScottMattScott Posts: 484
    Yep. Worse odds than i thought. 91.5% for 2 Star 8% for 3 Star. And 0.5% for 4 Star.
  • DJRipsterDJRipster Posts: 109
    I'd really like to see this change in someway... At least allow Uncollected to trade PHC shards for GMC shards

    There is no incentive in grinding and collecting PHC with these kind of drop rates
  • I just went 0 for 50.

    But I did pull a 5* cable so ....

    But I also got a kk from finishing act for so.


    The odds in this game suck. That's the takeaway
  • That doesn't prove anything ... Just bad luck.

    https://sciencing.com/meaning-sample-size-5988804.html

    @DNA3000 is the expert on this stuff, but the above video's margin for error being around 2-2.25% is believable
  • LocoMotivesLocoMotives Posts: 1,068
    This is news?
  • CFreeCFree Posts: 110
    That doesn't prove anything ... Just bad luck.

    https://sciencing.com/meaning-sample-size-5988804.html

    @DNA3000 is the expert on this stuff, but the above video's margin for error being around 2-2.25% is believable

    Doesn’t make much sense to me given that this is the opening of crystals governed by RNG and not a poll. Can you address this distinction?

  • Eelnats1Eelnats1 Posts: 43
    I've had 4* Hyperion and 4* dommanu out of premium crystals.
  • tufan_1974tufan_1974 Posts: 317
    This video is a few days old, i remember that i pulled 4* Wolverine from PHC months ago, after that i also opened hundreds of it and no 4 star at all. this is not just RNG, this is RNG working as intended.
  • DropfaithDropfaith Posts: 1,194
    7m15vg9806ay.png

    Odds are just that 1 went 1 for 1 and average a 4 every 2 weeks or so max from phc
  • CFreeCFree Posts: 110
    Masuarao wrote: »
    When you have a large sample size, the actual set unknown chance is reflected by the results. Hence his rates are not too far from actual rates.
    So if he were to open another 2000 crystals, you would expect the results to be within the margin of error of 2.24%?
  • I started tracking my 4 star pulls from phc's . I'm currently on a streak of 323 PHCs without a 4 star. Was 57 before that
  • People are actually defending the drop rate? SMH
  • Dropfaith wrote: »
    7m15vg9806ay.png

    Odds are just that 1 went 1 for 1 and average a 4 every 2 weeks or so max from phc



    Drop rates are terrible on those crystals.

    Congrats on that one though bet he's fun.
  • DingaloDingalo Posts: 170
    Guys... I play more hours a day than I sleep, and I haven't pulled a 4* since December 2016.

    I gave up believing a LOOOONG time ago.
  • BahamutBahamut Posts: 1,067
    Dingalo wrote: »
    Guys... I play more hours a day than I sleep, and I haven't pulled a 4* since December 2016.

    I gave up believing a LOOOONG time ago.

    Completely off topic: I read this and immediately thought of Sans
  • JK171386 wrote: »
    So.....should i start playing the lottery then??

    2q0n4fq1rno6.png

    Nice roll.
  • JK171386JK171386 Posts: 44
    Thanks im just on a hot streak right now but i have a feeling ill be cooling off soon
  • I find they come and go for me. I'm on an off spell. Haven't had a 4* in a while, and my last two 4* Crystals were older Dups, MMN and YJ. They roll how they roll. In terms of the topic, those results are pretty consistent with past estimations and results. It's rare RNG. We could roll 5 in 10 or none in 1000. It's just how they land.
  • JK171386JK171386 Posts: 44
    Agreed ive been hot for about 2 weeks now pulled a 4 star magik and the mephisto i posted and also a 5 star sparky but that pic i sent will NEVER happen again as i tend to have generally crap luck with PHC’s
  • Grats on the Sparky. My last one was Quake. Not mad. Lol
  • JK171386JK171386 Posts: 44
    I damn near fell on the floor when that happened 😂
  • JK171386JK171386 Posts: 44
    Getting back on topic I had an alliance me go through about 300 of them before ever pulling a four star
  • KestrelleKestrelle Posts: 424
    It's random. I went a couple months with no 4*, then pulled three in a week
  • I pulled a 4* champ from about 50 phc's. Then I pulled another 4*. After 5 more phc's. It's all luck based. They're basically free crystals so I'll take a 4* champ every once in a while for free.
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