Drop Rates Should add up to 100 %?

battleonebattleone Member Posts: 286 ★★
in General Discussion
So the Taskmaster FGM states
5* TM .81%
4* TM 3.9%

5* Hero 2.00%
4* Hero 15%
3* Hero 83%

So Last I checked there is 100% of something happening when a crystal is opened. Please clarify these odds.

Comments

  • BigTimeBigTime Member Posts: 246 ★★
    They do. TM is outside the other calc.

    85+2+13=100
  • UnknownUnknown
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  • BigTimeBigTime Member Posts: 246 ★★
    Jordan128 wrote: »
    I'm assuming 5* taskmaster is .81 of the 2% chance and 4* is 3.9% of the 15%.

    But it's irrelevant anyway, drop rates are just here to distract from the bugs / lag.

    I love the addition of drop rates. It is only fair that if you are gambling you know the odds.
  • battleonebattleone Member Posts: 286 ★★
    BigTime wrote: »
    They do. TM is outside the other calc.

    85+2+13=100

    No If you look at the arena crystals, the punisher is specifically carved out percent. 2% of what is left after TM odds, is not 2% lol.

    My favorite is the gold crystal. 100% chance at gold.... god forbid the odds of the different denominations are provided.

  • battleonebattleone Member Posts: 286 ★★
    BigTime wrote: »
    Jordan128 wrote: »
    I'm assuming 5* taskmaster is .81 of the 2% chance and 4* is 3.9% of the 15%.

    But it's irrelevant anyway, drop rates are just here to distract from the bugs / lag.

    I love the addition of drop rates. It is only fair that if you are gambling you know the odds.

    Especially for newer players.
  • Primmer79Primmer79 Member Posts: 2,968 ★★★★
    battleone wrote: »
    BigTime wrote: »
    They do. TM is outside the other calc.

    85+2+13=100

    No If you look at the arena crystals, the punisher is specifically carved out percent. 2% of what is left after TM odds, is not 2% lol.

    My favorite is the gold crystal. 100% chance at gold.... god forbid the odds of the different denominations are provided.

    punisher is specifically called out, as he is the ONLY 5*/4* in that crystal, whereas TM is a subset of a 5* pool
  • Deadbyrd9Deadbyrd9 Member Posts: 3,469 ★★★★
    It gives you the chance of a featured 5* but that’s not included in the addition of the numbers to 100%. You have a 2% chance of getting a 5* but of that .02 .0081 of that is taskmaster and the remaining % is all other 5*s. It’s just saying that you have a better chance of getting taskmaster than you do a specific 5* such as stark spidey that would be in the crystal because his odds are much lower than the .0081 for task master
  • ThatweirdguyThatweirdguy Member Posts: 675 ★★★
    Jordan128 wrote: »
    I'm assuming 5* taskmaster is .81 of the 2% chance and 4* is 3.9% of the 15%.

    But it's irrelevant anyway, drop rates are just here to distract from the bugs / lag.

    Actually drop rates were not added to distract from bugs/lag. Apple forced them to release drop rates.
  • UnknownUnknown
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  • BigTimeBigTime Member Posts: 246 ★★

    battleone wrote: »
    BigTime wrote: »
    They do. TM is outside the other calc.

    85+2+13=100

    No If you look at the arena crystals, the punisher is specifically carved out percent. 2% of what is left after TM odds, is not 2% lol.

    My favorite is the gold crystal. 100% chance at gold.... god forbid the odds of the different denominations are provided.

    The specific featured percentages are out of 100, that is why they are in a different block.

    The rest are type based and add up to 100.
    .02 + 83.98 = 84 + .65 + .35 = 85 + 15 = 100

    It seemed clear as day to me but looks like @Kabam Miike even had to ask the devs for clarity.
  • 8406GR8406GR Member Posts: 55 ★
    The rates are made to skew your perception. Like many others,
    TM is grades on his own percentages.
    I can tell you 1 thing for sure. That is, statistics don’t mean anything. Think about this:
    You have 70% water weight.
    I have 70% water weight.

    If you weight 150lbs and I weight 250 lbs the total whole number is different but the percentage is the same.

    So if u buy 100 FMG’s you will not get .81 taskmasters. Even if
    You expanded it to 200 FMg’s. You won’t be GURANTEED a singe TM. The reason is because you and I do not know what the total base pool it. Only Kabam does. Many people think it is out of 0-100. But that’s false as high hell. It can be on a scale of 10,000,000 for all we know.

    It’s not just smoke. I completed my BA in business admin. focusing on statistics. And still to this day I am progressing through my masters in business.
  • GroundedWisdomGroundedWisdom Member Posts: 36,567 ★★★★★
    It's because 0.81% is each time you open a Crystal. Not 0.81+0.81+0.81. There's no smoke-and-mirrors. It's RNG.
  • UnknownUnknown
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  • BigTimeBigTime Member Posts: 246 ★★
    8406GR wrote: »
    The rates are made to skew your perception. Like many others,
    TM is grades on his own percentages.
    I can tell you 1 thing for sure. That is, statistics don’t mean anything. Think about this:
    You have 70% water weight.
    I have 70% water weight.

    If you weight 150lbs and I weight 250 lbs the total whole number is different but the percentage is the same.

    So if u buy 100 FMG’s you will not get .81 taskmasters. Even if
    You expanded it to 200 FMg’s. You won’t be GURANTEED a singe TM. The reason is because you and I do not know what the total base pool it. Only Kabam does. Many people think it is out of 0-100. But that’s false as high hell. It can be on a scale of 10,000,000 for all we know.

    It’s not just smoke. I completed my BA in business admin. focusing on statistics. And still to this day I am progressing through my masters in business.

    I am not questioning your education or anything here. I do think, based on the language from apple as well as what is defined as “drop rates” we are just simply talkin an RNG %. I don’t think, and certainly hope, it is not like a slot machine but more like craps.

    So the idea being no matter how many you ever buy could you never guarentee a TM. It is always a 0.81% chance for each crystal. At scale he should pop at that rate but that scale is infinitely.

  • Time4ASpankingTime4ASpanking Member Posts: 199 ★
    http://forums.playcontestofchampions.com/en/discussion/comment/338595#Comment_338595

    Kabam Miike answered my question here, which I think will help answer your question. The .81% is part of the 2%. So, .81% chance to get 5* task master, and 1.19% chance to get all other 5 stars in the pool. That add up to the 2 % 5 star chance
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