Black Widow 3% evade!?!?!?!?! [Not A Bug]

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  • Star31Star31 Member Posts: 8
    Mystix13 wrote: »
    It honestly seem that most of the % based abilities are broken. Wolverines regen, GRs judgements, BW evade, just to name a few. One that has been really getting me lately is AV special 1 not inflicting bleed. I know its a 65% chance but i've went whole fights and popped off 4 or 5 S1 with no bleed. It used to be very reliable.

    This is entirely correct. I can't speak for GR, I don't have him, but everything else is entirely accurate.

    Wolverine has a 14% chance to Regenerate per hit. That means a 70% chance per combo. For me, there's usually a period of time in every fight where I land 4 combos with no Regen. Theoretically, there was a 280% chance for it to trigger. That means it should have triggered three times, or at the very least, twice. But no, it happens once if at all.

    You already listed an example of AV and his problems, and I already talked about BW. The game is just messed up.

    Your math is wrong. 14% per hit doesn't accumulate with additional hits. It is a constant. A 5 hit combo looks like this:

    Hit 1 - 14% chance
    Hit 2 - 14% chance
    Hit 3 - 14% chance
    Hit 4 - 14% chance
    Hit 5 - 14% chance

    There is no addition to the percentage because of a failure for prior consecutive hits. So at the end of the 5 hit combo your chance is still 14%.

    Now the BW thing. Same thing. 3% chance per attack which could mean it activates 20% of that particular fight but that's just unlucky.





    I didn't say that there is an accumulative chance for Regeneration. I said that, as a whole, you have a 14% chance to Regenerate per combo. 14% × 5 = 70%. That's math. I'm not wrong. There's not a 70% chance on that last hit of a combo, and that's not what I said. In the entire combo, you have a 70% shot.

    No... that's not how it works, at all. If it worked like that then every 8 hits you'll proc a regen no matter what (14% x 8 = 112%).

    This isn't "simple math", it's chance dude.

    It is simple math and chance. Theoretically, there is a 70% chance per combo. That doesn't mean it will happen. It's theoretical. If the chance isn't 100%, there will never be a guarantee. Mathematically, he has a 70% chance to Regenerate per combo. That doesn't mean it will happen, and I never said it would.
    At 14% chance it would be 0.86^7 = 0.348 (=35%) to NOT get it after 7 hits. Which is still very likely to occur. After 15 hits, it's still over 10% chance (to not get any).
  • CrusherOfDreamsCrusherOfDreams Guest, Member Posts: 1,370 ★★★
    You don't take the 14% to the power of how many hits (which would be 14%^5), you multiply it by the number of hits. You don't take 14% × 14%, otherwise you would end up with a 2% chance for it to trigger once in 2 hits, which is obviously not true. Some of you guys are overcomplicating it, and your equations are making the odds go DOWN over time.
  • CYNDRDBODYCYNDRDBODY Member Posts: 252
    CapWW2 wrote: »
    BW should block break and have 50 percent evade

    At least you aren't asking for a Nerf this time.

    Bw doesnt block break anymore they fixed that last nerf
  • Kabam WolfKabam Wolf Member Posts: 1,277 ★★★
    Hey OP. I double checked on this for you, and it looks like Black Widow's Evade chance is indeed working as intended. Since this isn't a bug, I'm going to go ahead and close your thread. Thanks!
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