When do you think F2P will get a chance at Duping 7* Sinister?
Polygon
Member Posts: 4,553 ★★★★★
Think it'll be a while since if it happened this year or early next it might not be considered fair to those that whaled? We may be looking at whenever 7* AGs become a thing.
Hopefully its not too long, since his dupe is pretty huge for him especially at a high sig
Hopefully its not too long, since his dupe is pretty huge for him especially at a high sig
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However in Alliance War and Questing it’s nice to have.
As a battlegrounds player and Alliance War Player I am not too bothered about the sig, mainly because of that yummy degen damage.
If there was an option to buy 2nd time it be nice....annoys seeing him at 24k PI in the buttom of the deck.
A sometimes confusing intuitive check (confusing, because it seems to employ thinking you’re taught *not* to do in statistics) is to ask how many buffs you’ll get on average. Since they are all independent buffs (presumably) the average number you’ll get in every fight is just 1/6 x 3 or 3/6 = 0.5, or one half of a buff. There are four possibilities: zero, one, two, or three. It is obvious that getting two or three are very low probability events. So *most* of the time you’ll get either zero or one. Since the average is half or one, the odds should split roughly evenly between those two possibilities. And since those two uncommon possibilities still exist and would pull the average upward, getting zero must be more than 50% likely, so that the combination of one, two, and three would pull the average back to one half.
So “intuitively” if you’re mathematically inclined, zero should happen a bit more than half the time, and thus the odds of getting one, two, or three should happen a bit less than half the time. One should happen somewhat less than half the time, and two and three should have progressively lower odds of happening.
You probably have to work with numbers a lot to build this sort of intuition, but it is helpful to double check otherwise abstract calculations. 42% “feels right” to me (and it is according to calculations).