I think 4.5 mil will be safe for the first round and like 5 mil will be safe for second round. And I think I'm overestimating. A 5 mil cutoff is crazy IMO. I don't think any champ has the same level of hype as Blade, nor will any current champ come close to his cutoff.
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I'll go above 5 if I'll can even if my prediction is lower.