Go for it my friend. 2 chances means theoretically you have 40% chance, and I think there will probably be some other goodies in that crystal too if you don’t get blade. Good luck!
Go for it my friend. 2 chances means theoretically you have 40% chance, and I think there will probably be some other goodies in that crystal too if you don’t get blade. Good luck!
That's not how math works...
2 crystals = 36%
3 crystals = 49%
4 crystals = 60%
And so on
Go for it my friend. 2 chances means theoretically you have 40% chance, and I think there will probably be some other goodies in that crystal too if you don’t get blade. Good luck!
That's not how math works...
2 crystals = 36%
3 crystals = 49%
4 crystals = 60%
And so on
And can you remind me again why you decided to remove a whopping 20% chance from 4 crystals when (I heard) each crystal has a 20% chance to get blade?
Go for it my friend. 2 chances means theoretically you have 40% chance, and I think there will probably be some other goodies in that crystal too if you don’t get blade. Good luck!
That's not how math works...
2 crystals = 36%
3 crystals = 49%
4 crystals = 60%
And so on
And can you remind me again why you decided to remove a whopping 20% chance from 4 crystals when (I heard) each crystal has a 20% chance to get blade?
So if you open 5 crystals you have 100% to get him ? No, check on google that's basic math
In a vacuum (meaning I have no idea of what your current goals are, and whether you're an arena grinder), I think it's worth it for you. You already have some powerful content-solving champs in Ghost and Void (with synergy champs). So taking 2 significantly increased chances to add another top champ instead of adding 3 random champs (that, let's face it, are more likely to be benchwarmers than top champs) seems like a good gamble. I think you're in enough of a position of strength where quality trumps quantity. But if you are a grinder, you may want to take the opposite approach and add volume. It's a good point that you don't show the other members of Blade's synergy trinity here, but honestly that doesn't bother me because you very well may have a 4* GR and Sparky you can pair with him and still wreck content. At this point for you, Blade is a long-term play anyway because you may not have an Awakening Gem for him, and he really needs to be awakened to be the regen machine that supplies much of his utility. But having an awakened Blade with synergies can really unlock a lot of content in Act 5 and some of the Event Quests, and he's a tremendous help in AQ and AW at higher ranks. Hope that helps. The true answer is it depends on what you get from the crystals whether you made the right choice, LOL. Good luck either way!
As for chances, each crystal has it's own probablility. It's separate. 20% chance (theorized) from each crystal INDEPENDENT of each other.
Each roll of the dice has its own probability, too. However, multiple rolls does yield a higher chance of success.
In the case of the Dhampir crystal, each crystal has a 20% chance to get Blade. To figure out what the likelihood is of getting Blade spinning two crystals you would take your odds of not getting him (80%, or .8 out of 1), raise it to the power of how many crystals you spin, subtract 1, and this gives you the negative decimal value of your odds, which you can multiply by -100 to get the true % chance of pulling Blade
For example, 3 spins would be (.8^3)-1=-x/100
x=48.8% chance of pulling Blade with 3 spins.
2 spins is 36% chance. 4 spins is the minimum needed to say you will probably get Blade at ~59% chance. Of course that is no guarantee, but that’s what I’ll have 😁
As for the OP, this is likely the best odds you have of getting a specific champ outside of grinding or spending ever. Blade is incredibly good, but is truly godly once awakened with synergies. You have to decide if +5k shards are worth it. If you don’t have GR or Stark, and cannot hope to awaken him with an AG or multiple tries at the crystal, then i would personally advise you to stick to basics. At the end of the day you have to stick to your gut. I’m personally going for him because I have a 5/65 Stark and GR, a skill AG I have saved for at least 6 months just for Blade, and have been able to save 60k shards.
Ok guys thank you all for the input really appreciate it a ton, since some of y'all wanted to see my whole roster here it is so lmk if it is worth it to do 3 basics or try my luck with 2
After seeing the whole roster I would pass if I were you. With Ghost and Void you’re set, plus you’ve already got a 5/50 Blade if there ever is a time he’s needed. If you want to go for him for fun I don’t think it’d be a bad decision, but you definitely don’t need him. More than anything I would practice my heart out with that Ghost.
After seeing the whole roster I would pass if I were you. With Ghost and Void you’re set, plus you’ve already got a 5/50 Blade if there ever is a time he’s needed. If you want to go for him for fun I don’t think it’d be a bad decision, but you definitely don’t need him. More than anything I would practice my heart out with that Ghost.
Yeah thxs for the input mate, let's just say I've almost mastered ghost
Comments
I've decided to open 4 basic instead, no regrets...
You have ghost and void, what more do you want?!
I already have a 5 star blade (so do a lot of my alliance members) from a Basic so I’m not gonna bother going for him
That's not how math works...
2 crystals = 36%
3 crystals = 49%
4 crystals = 60%
And so on
And can you remind me again why you decided to remove a whopping 20% chance from 4 crystals when (I heard) each crystal has a 20% chance to get blade?
So if you open 5 crystals you have 100% to get him ? No, check on google that's basic math
Yes. The answer is yes. He has saved me more units than any other champ in the game.
He's not the answer to everything, but he is for a lot. There are very few matchups where a duped blade isn't at least good.
Each roll of the dice has its own probability, too. However, multiple rolls does yield a higher chance of success.
In the case of the Dhampir crystal, each crystal has a 20% chance to get Blade. To figure out what the likelihood is of getting Blade spinning two crystals you would take your odds of not getting him (80%, or .8 out of 1), raise it to the power of how many crystals you spin, subtract 1, and this gives you the negative decimal value of your odds, which you can multiply by -100 to get the true % chance of pulling Blade
For example, 3 spins would be (.8^3)-1=-x/100
x=48.8% chance of pulling Blade with 3 spins.
2 spins is 36% chance. 4 spins is the minimum needed to say you will probably get Blade at ~59% chance. Of course that is no guarantee, but that’s what I’ll have 😁
As for the OP, this is likely the best odds you have of getting a specific champ outside of grinding or spending ever. Blade is incredibly good, but is truly godly once awakened with synergies. You have to decide if +5k shards are worth it. If you don’t have GR or Stark, and cannot hope to awaken him with an AG or multiple tries at the crystal, then i would personally advise you to stick to basics. At the end of the day you have to stick to your gut. I’m personally going for him because I have a 5/65 Stark and GR, a skill AG I have saved for at least 6 months just for Blade, and have been able to save 60k shards.
Yeah thxs for the input mate, let's just say I've almost mastered ghost