RNG Fun
Jestress
Member Posts: 1,501 ★★★★
Needed one tech T4CC to take sentinel to R5. Had about 63 T4CC catalyst crystals in my inventory.
43 T4CC later, I got one tech T4CC. Pretty cool, right?
43 T4CC later, I got one tech T4CC. Pretty cool, right?
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Whatever you need you don't get
So just sit back, relax and get ready for an RNG math lesson courtesy of the MCOC forums.
Algorithm
Why-not doesn't justify believing whatever you want to believe. Under those rules, there's no reason to believe someone isn't just making up insincere conspiracy theories for no other reason than to deliberately troll the forums, because why not.
We don't know with certainty that Kabam doesn't play games with its random drop tables. We do know with certainty that no one has put forth a theory of how they might be doing that which passes statistically significant muster. Anyone with any statistical background can know with certainty that everyone who has ever publicly claimed otherwise is provably wrong.
When a lot of people accuse Kabam of something that by definition generates results that cannot be hidden, and yet no one can prove it, and everyone claiming they can prove it turns out to be laughable wrong, that is in itself a statistically significant piece of information. They do more to convince me that there isn't material odds manipulation than I've done myself to convince me of that.
Always bet against the people certain that they are right when their own evidence says they are wrong. You win that bet more than 99% of the time.
For example, not every player follows the same rank up patterns. They hold certain champs in higher regards than the majority would. They then may land what the majority would feel isn't ideal, yet it's 100% what they felt was needed. The algorithm certainly is not Psychic. It doesn't know what you 'need' or want. It cannot guess player intent or desire when giving you champs, rank up items via crystal, awakening gems, rank up gems, etc.
Perhaps it uses prior rank up choices and arena scores to help dictate which champs would be deemed 'ideal' by the majority. That could play a factor in how often certain champs get pulled over others. That is a possibility, although I cannot say for sure that's what happening when champion resources and/or the champs themselves are doled out via crystal. It's RNG... it's randomized to a fault. If that means you don't get what you wanted, it is what it is. If you do, congrats, luck was on your side. Fair enough. To which I say, that is ROUGH. 1 out of 43 when there's only 6 classes. Jeeeezzzz those crystals did not want to give up that Tech catalyst, lol. RNG... sometimes it plays nice... other times, not so much.
I've got Red Hulk, Hulk, OG Spidey, Modok as 5* all duped and the only one awakening gem I got from act 5 was science... I'm left with Rhino so it's been staying in my stash for a long time....
-.-
Maybe normally there is a chance of getting them equally, but then when it knows what you desperately need, it will lower the chances for that class.
I’m the same with AG, I’ve got ones I can’t even use, I can’t get the right AG for the class I need, and then ones I have, I can’t get decent champs in that class.
Could just be RNG, but maybe not, none of us will never truly know, what we do know is we get Kabams “word” that it is genuine, and also what we know is documents and sites have been found stating Kabams algorithms which were facts too.
If they used algorithms at some point, I can’t see why they would have suddenly stopped.
Saying it does is implying that Kabam is using beyond NSA level tracking, and data allocation combined with some form of psychic linking. If you do believe this to be the case, start talking about ranking someone you don't want in chats and verbally around your device. In turn, utilizing reverse psychology on it, lol. Maybe your luck will change.
If you're in some way implying that the algorithm is using trending rank up, or awakening information, and it's typically coinciding with what you want or need... well that's 2 things. 1, it would be basing what it delivers off what could be necessary to make X ideal champ that you possess more useful because the majority do this. In turn, not giving you the necessary items for such a rank up and/or awakening. 2, it's mere coincidence as it literally cannot know that's what you wanted to do.
The algorithm isn't self aware, it's not Skynet, it's not literal Ai. If Kabam had figured out the secrets to such technology, I SINCERELY DOUBT they'd be employing it on something so small, lol. Especially in cases of champ delivery as there's MANY champs people want. If this were true, no one would get a 'God Tier' champ because it knows that's what most want and will give you something else according to this mentality.
The much more logical, and sound reasoning for what happens is sheer luck due to pseudo RNG in play. There's a SLIGHT chance that maybe some trending data is utilized in the RNG algorithm. In which case it's STILL random chance that it's coinciding with your desires. If it is, that simply means you're following the herd and it's merely anticipating such an action based on allocated data. I'm not opposed to such being a maybe factor here. Just seems rather insane to believe it somehow 'knows' anything. It really doesn't.
Now, I have evidence to prove the contrary though. When I pulled my 5* Domino, I had JUST been talking about how I was after her on Line app with my Alliance mates. If the algorithm was using NSA style data allocation and tracking, it would've given me ANYONE BUT her by this mentality. It had to know what I wanted right? Yet... it gave her to me. Weird. I was shy 2× science t4cc to take my 5* R4 CAIW up to R5. I opened a 10 pack of t4ccs and landed 3× of them. However, shouldn't it have known that's who I wanted to R5 and not given them to me? Crazy right? Maybe the RNG is just doing what it does and some have horrible luck. I know that it's a scary thought, but life can be like that.