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I Know this is “luck” but I’m quitting the game unless someone changes this

EliOrSomethingEliOrSomething Member Posts: 115 ★★
JUST PULLED MY 3RD MUTANT 4-5 GEM OUT OF A TOTAL OF 3 4-5 CRYSTALS… THAT IS A HALF OF A PERCENT CHANCE TO HAPPEN. THIS IS BULL, THIS GAME INTENTIONALLY GIVES YOU CLASSES YOU DONT WANT, THE WORST IN THE GAME… I DO NOT CARE IF THIS IS “luck” or not… this is a statistical impossibility, the odds of getting 1/6 THREE CONSECUTIVE TIMES IS ASTRONOMICAL, the only rational explanation is that this game favors classes that your roster has less strength in. At this point NOBODY can convince me other wise, I have basically won the lottery of bad luck UNLESS the game is rigged… therefore it must be rigged
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Comments

  • GroundedWisdomGroundedWisdom Member Posts: 36,513 ★★★★★

    My suggestion:
    1. Take a break from the game.
    2. Get some fresh air and sunlight if you can do so safely
    3. Remember this is a comic book video game you play in a phone
    4. Have fun with it but don’t let it ruin your day.
    5. See you next week when you get another run of bad RNG

    I appreciate it, honestly im probably just gonna uninstall, Literally thousands of units and hours of work down the tubes based off of a most likely already predetermined outcome, very frustrating… I definitely think this game has a tendency to lean towards unfavorable outcomes no matter what the “odds” say. But at the end of the day I guess the only thing I can really do is decide this game is no longer worth my time or money.
    Unless I'm behind in new developments, a computer has not yet been designed that can read our minds and determine what we want and what we don't want.
    Nor does it take into account what you pulled before.
    You pulled the one in six Class you got two times before. That's about it.
  • GrO_ot78GrO_ot78 Member Posts: 688 ★★★
    edited November 2023
    100 / 6 = 16,67%.

    Still 16,67% for the 2 and 3 crystal.

    We buy crystals with 1% chance of a 7*…and I’ve gotten 3 in less than 40 pulls.
    #RNG
  • obsidimanobsidiman Member Posts: 942 ★★★
    Statistical IMPROBABILTY... not a statistical IMPOSSIBILITY. That's like saying it's not possible to roll a 6 three times in a row on a 6 sided die.
  • DemonzfyreDemonzfyre Member Posts: 21,845 ★★★★★

    JUST PULLED MY 3RD MUTANT 4-5 GEM OUT OF A TOTAL OF 3 4-5 CRYSTALS… THAT IS A HALF OF A PERCENT CHANCE TO HAPPEN. THIS IS BULL, THIS GAME INTENTIONALLY GIVES YOU CLASSES YOU DONT WANT, THE WORST IN THE GAME… I DO NOT CARE IF THIS IS “luck” or not… this is a statistical impossibility, the odds of getting 1/6 THREE CONSECUTIVE TIMES IS ASTRONOMICAL, the only rational explanation is that this game favors classes that your roster has less strength in. At this point NOBODY can convince me other wise, I have basically won the lottery of bad luck UNLESS the game is rigged… therefore it must be rigged

    Just one question. How does the game know you don't want mutant?
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 19,428 Guardian

    By the way, consecutive means one right after the other. You didn't open them consecutively. You opened them over periods of time.

    Just to be fair here, how much time elapses between openings is not relevant to the odds, so long as no other significant openings occurred in between. Whether they are opened one second apart, one hour apart, or one year apart, would not matter to the statistical calculations.

    However, the farther apart they are, the more likely memory may be faulty, and the more likely for "opportunity errors" to occur. Which would take some time to explain, but it is a form of selection bias. If you open three crystals over a long period of time with lots of stuff happening in the middle, there's a chance your brain will spot a pattern in the noise between those crystal openings that can create significance issues.

    For example, if I open three 7* crystals over a period of three months and I say that they were all Void, the fact that they were opened over a period of three months isn't really relevant. But if I were to say that I opened three 7* crystals and every time I did the champion matched my last 6* opening prior, now you have to get suspicious. Did I just notice a weird pattern. What if my 7* champ happened to match my last 5* opening instead, or my last 4* opening, or my last Cav opening, or or or - that's the problem with giving humans too many opportunities to create what are called significance problems. Is pulling three Voids in a row significant? Probably. Is pulling 7* Void after pulling 6* Void significant? Maybe, maybe not, if I was looking at enough data to find something, anything that looked like a correlation.

    The problem all statistical analysts have to deal with is this question: am I calculating the odds of a rare event occurring, or am I calculating the odds of someone noticing an event that looks anything like this and reporting it. Those two odds can be wildly different. The odds of me seeing three Hoods in a row in the video I posted? About 700k to one. The odds of me seeing three identical champs in a row and posting a video about it? More like ten thousand to one. The odds of a player seeing this eventually and posting about it among all the players in the game? Almost 100%.
  • DarkestDestroyerDarkestDestroyer Member Posts: 2,884 ★★★★★

    JUST PULLED MY 3RD MUTANT 4-5 GEM OUT OF A TOTAL OF 3 4-5 CRYSTALS… THAT IS A HALF OF A PERCENT CHANCE TO HAPPEN. THIS IS BULL, THIS GAME INTENTIONALLY GIVES YOU CLASSES YOU DONT WANT, THE WORST IN THE GAME… I DO NOT CARE IF THIS IS “luck” or not… this is a statistical impossibility, the odds of getting 1/6 THREE CONSECUTIVE TIMES IS ASTRONOMICAL, the only rational explanation is that this game favors classes that your roster has less strength in. At this point NOBODY can convince me other wise, I have basically won the lottery of bad luck UNLESS the game is rigged… therefore it must be rigged


    mock me all you want dude but the odds of this happening are actually impossible
    I mean they aren’t impossible bro, it happened! Also put some respect on mutants!
  • BeastDadBeastDad Member Posts: 1,811 ★★★★★
    Funny I’ve opened exactly 3, and all 3 have been mutant as well.
  • GroundedWisdomGroundedWisdom Member Posts: 36,513 ★★★★★

    yeah def my bad for hoping to see anyone siding with me on the forums LMAO

    If you want people to side with you on the Forums (although I can't imagine why that would be the main focus), then you need to present points that are factual.
  • DarkChamp732DarkChamp732 Member Posts: 86
    Kabam Jax said:

    Maybe it's worth revisiting this ol' nugget:

    RNG in Marvel Contest of Champions is exactly that: random.

    To list drop rates and secretly operate independently of them wouldn't just be unethical, it would be illegal.

    Yes, sometimes mistakes happen and we work to quickly resolve them. But no, this isn't one of those times, and no this isn't a predetermined outcome meant to intentionally frustrate Summoners. (I definitely wouldn't allow mechanics to exist to intentionally funnel people into the forums to yell about stuff, that would make my job... yeesh)

    I'm sorry for the poor RNG on this one, better luck on the next.

    <3</p>

    Love you kabam Jax! (There is a little bit of false info in here though with the recent *only first pick* drama lol). Hope y'all can fix it and I think you guys as a company are a lot better than people think.
  • DarkChamp732DarkChamp732 Member Posts: 86

    JUST PULLED MY 3RD MUTANT 4-5 GEM OUT OF A TOTAL OF 3 4-5 CRYSTALS… THAT IS A HALF OF A PERCENT CHANCE TO HAPPEN. THIS IS BULL, THIS GAME INTENTIONALLY GIVES YOU CLASSES YOU DONT WANT, THE WORST IN THE GAME… I DO NOT CARE IF THIS IS “luck” or not… this is a statistical impossibility, the odds of getting 1/6 THREE CONSECUTIVE TIMES IS ASTRONOMICAL, the only rational explanation is that this game favors classes that your roster has less strength in. At this point NOBODY can convince me other wise, I have basically won the lottery of bad luck UNLESS the game is rigged… therefore it must be rigged

    I've gotten like 3 4-5 science gems in a row and I don't mind at all considering how many good champs are in that class. If they wanted to screw me over they'd have given me 3 cosmic or something since I already have those champs ranked. It's just based on luck. I've also been on a really unfortunate streak of getting sub par 7*s lately but I'm not mad because my first 5 were all amazing. You have good days and you have bad days. Just have fun with it and make the most out of those mutant gems. You could r5 apoc, kitty, and AA or something which all can synergize with eachother. I personally would love a mutant 4-5 rn. Keep your head up king
  • DRTODRTO Member Posts: 1,653 ★★★★★

    yeah def my bad for hoping to see anyone siding with me on the forums LMAO

    Bro not even math is on your side you really expected people to agree with you on this?
  • DrZolaDrZola Member Posts: 8,983 ★★★★★
    My 7* L40 IWIM, L40 Gamora and L60 Silver Surfer would like to have a word…

    Dr. Zola
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