# "Black Widow on M.Jordan's Challenge" Pt.1

Ryuichi_01
Posts:

**123**★
Am i the only one suffering the 3% ability of BW to evade attacks in the new challenge? I mean there isn't a local node on round 4 for BW which says "Enhanced Abilities" (or i just missed it?). She evades very often now IDK if that is normal or what. I have a 4* BW but when trying to use her, she doesn't trigger evade that much. (I know its pointless to compare a 4* over a 5*/6*). Though i've accomplished it but its kinda bugging those who are struggling.

Thanks and adios!

Thanks and adios!

0

## Comments

100★123★Yeah maybe I'm just wrong hahaha lol i think of it as the effect of that small percentage

1,045★★★221★2,570★★★★She was evading like she was Spider-Man against me, it was ridiculous.

I slipped up and got 3 hits from Black Panther too... each hit did bleed damage, I can use mine in arena and maybe get 1-2 bleeds for a fight.

2,353★★★★198★I don't think that's how probability works 😓

1,075★★★That's exactly how it works tho

221★267★No it isn’t. It’s calculated per hit, like you said. So you wouldn’t round over a multitude because it’s always 3%. It’s never gonna be 14% for this amount, it’s 3% every time.

1,075★★★Not going to try to explain it (I probably wouldn't be able to). Just Google "binomial probability distribution"

3,022★★★★★The hits are all calculated independently; but from the perspective of fighting her, what you experience is calculated like this:

Chances of

notbeing evaded after one hit is 0.97 (i.e. 3% chance of being evaded on a single hit)Chances of

notbeing evaded after two hits is 0.97 X 0.97 = 0.94 (i.e. 6% chance of being evaded)Chances of

notbeing evaded after five hits is 0.97 X 0.97 X 0.97 X 0.97 X 0.97 = 0.85 (i.e. 15% chance of being evaded)516★★★Vegas loves people that think the way you do. In roulette if the wheel lands red 20 times in a row it doesn’t change the chances that the next spin will be red. At all. Every spins probability is unique to itself. Just like every strike is unique to itself for the 3% chance to evade

1,725★★★★2,570★★★★It does sound as low, because it still sounds like "3%"

337★★A is 3%

When trying 5 times.

A never occurring is 86%, meaning that it would be 14% for occurring at least once.

@mfleury is correct to the whole number.

(Sorry if this ends up posting multiple times, it keeps on sending me to approval, so I removed the link to the calculator showing the above)

100★Never said that giving 4 hits changes the probability of it to trigger in the 5 hit. And I know enough to not play any lottery of Vegas games.

I'm just saying that, if you do 5 hits, you have a ~14% chance of getting the evade at least one time. She could evade in the first hit, maybe the last or maybe in all five hits, many possibilities.

For the curious ones, here is how the math is done: you have 3% of getting the evade so 97% to not the evade. Let calculate the chance of bw not evading 5 hits than, considering the events are independent. Than there is 97% of her not evading the first, 97% on second and so on. Since the events are independent, we can't multiply the %, so 97%*97%*97%*97%*97%= ~85,6% of her NOT evading. Than there is a ~14,4% of her evading at least once.

1,725★★★★170★★So 3% chance to evade means that she should evade 3 hits out of 100. So every 33 hits she should be evading once.

She was evading way more than that. I would say once evry 10 hits or so. But she is a 5* so assuming is a 3* its not accurate as it might be different

202★55★Gambler’s fallacy mate. The previous hit has no effect on the next. 3% per hit that’s all. Like somebody said, 20 reds on the roulette table doesn’t mean the next spin will have an increased probability to be black. Every spin (or in this case, hit) is independent from the last.

447★★★Buddy he's telling you the chance of her evading ONCE IN FIVE HITS, not the chance to evade ON THE FIFTH HIT.

This is basic maths.

2,210★★★★★551★★753★★★Depending on the quest, BP is immune to Bleed.

4,656★★★★★1,292★★★That's not how it works.

3%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 3%

You can't add them up.

337★★https://omnicalculator.com/statistics/probability

A is 3%

When trying 5 times.

A never occurring is 86%, meaning that it would o

@mfleury is correct to the whole number.

337★★https://omnicalculator.com/statistics/probability

@mfleury is correct to the whole number.

A is 3%

When trying 5 times.

A never occurring is 86%, meaning that it would occur at least once is 14%