Premium hero crystal shard drop rates

TourganisTourganis Member Posts: 3
in General Discussion
For a long time now I have had nothing but 2* hero’s from phc, with the very rare 3*. What is going on? Is anyone else having issues with the amount of 2* vs 3* and 4* drops.

Premium hero crystal shard drop rates 44 votes

Yes
25%
StefanjonesThawnimSandeepSJohn757Sycoblast69The_mad_hatter1FhfjghhggggjfhfjgWelderofortuneMattyPerlerVeilveroLysiszero 11 votes
No
75%
GroundedWisdomWilljackson16stakAppleisgodSpeedbumpTheVyrusBapoiDOKTOROKTOPUSAb_SamadJonibärchenLilMaddogHTIcsGrecrandamusBahamutSassyMastyCoachLedCh1efstershadow_lurker22Pedritkodjr17 33 votes

Comments

  • LysiszeroLysiszero Member Posts: 296
    Yes
    It's been talked about by the youtubers. People have made charts on drop rates. The odds for a 4* is far lower than the very low percentage of what kabam says it is. I personally saved 100 phc crystals and opened 100 2* champs. A year ago I was opening an average of 2 4* champs per week. The last 7 months I have opened 1 4*.
  • JayCeeJayCee Member Posts: 732 ★★
    No
    I’ve been getting champions based on the the specified drop rates, though a decrease in the three star and an increase in the 4 star rates which is good
  • DrBruceWayneDrBruceWayne Member Posts: 1,267 ★★★★
    Lysiszero wrote: »
    It's been talked about by the youtubers. People have made charts on drop rates. The odds for a 4* is far lower than the very low percentage of what kabam says it is. I personally saved 100 phc crystals and opened 100 2* champs. A year ago I was opening an average of 2 4* champs per week. The last 7 months I have opened 1 4*.

    You don't seem to understand the math behind the crystals. The crystals aren't dependent events (which means that for every 100 you open, you are guaranteed to get 2 4*), they are completely independent of each other.
  • BahamutBahamut Member Posts: 2,307 ★★★★
    No
    It’s RNG. I got 2 4*s out of PHCs last week.
  • shadow_lurker22shadow_lurker22 Member Posts: 3,245 ★★★★★
    No
    Am I having issues? no
    Do I want a drop rate increase? Yes
  • TourganisTourganis Member Posts: 3
    The_Unknown wrote: »
    Lysiszero wrote: »
    It's been talked about by the youtubers. People have made charts on drop rates. The odds for a 4* is far lower than the very low percentage of what kabam says it is. I personally saved 100 phc crystals and opened 100 2* champs. A year ago I was opening an average of 2 4* champs per week. The last 7 months I have opened 1 4*.

    You don't seem to understand the math behind the crystals. The crystals aren't dependent events (which means that for every 100 you open, you are guaranteed to get 2 4*), they are completely independent of each other.[/

    A drop rate would indicate that out of 100 you should get 2 4* and so on. The way to calculate drop rate is the number of times you get a certain thing divided by the ammount of times you do something to try and get it. Ergot 2% = 2 in 100. Surely using math, It cant be indipendant and a drop rate?
  • GroundedWisdomGroundedWisdom Member Posts: 36,983 ★★★★★
    No
    Come and go, as usual.
  • UnknownUnknown
    edited July 2018
    This content has been removed.
  • Cranky_TrumpCranky_Trump Member Posts: 263 ★
    No
    I go for long stretches that I feel that way, then in the past 4 day's I've gotten 2 4* and a handful of 3*'s

    I'm sure the percentages are right. Just because you open 99 2*'s, that doesn't raise your percentage for the 100th one.
  • DOKTOROKTOPUSDOKTOROKTOPUS Member Posts: 1,501 ★★★
    No
    don't expect too much on premiums, just shards and stuff, its ok

  • LilMaddogHTLilMaddogHT Member Posts: 1,211 ★★★★
    No
    Today I popped a ton of PHC on 2 of my accounts:

    Got five 4* heros on 123 PHC

    and then I got ZERO on 118 PHCs...

    You win some, you lose some...
  • DarkQuakeDarkQuake Member Posts: 79 ★
    No
    It random I never get 4* but i get quite a few 3* a now and there
  • IcsGrecIcsGrec Member Posts: 919 ★★★
    No
    I got 2x 4* and some 6-7 3* from the last 25-30 phc’s I have opened.

    It all depends on luck really.
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 20,458 Guardian
    Lysiszero wrote: »
    It's been talked about by the youtubers. People have made charts on drop rates. The odds for a 4* is far lower than the very low percentage of what kabam says it is. I personally saved 100 phc crystals and opened 100 2* champs. A year ago I was opening an average of 2 4* champs per week. The last 7 months I have opened 1 4*.

    Not by any I've seen so far. Since the drop rates were changed after drop rate displays were added to the game, every streamer I've seen that has said anything at all has explicitly mentioned that they have personally noticed the drop rates for 3* and especially 4* champions have improved substantially from the PHC, in rough accordance with the published drop rates.
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 20,458 Guardian
    Lysiszero wrote: »
    It's been talked about by the youtubers. People have made charts on drop rates. The odds for a 4* is far lower than the very low percentage of what kabam says it is. I personally saved 100 phc crystals and opened 100 2* champs. A year ago I was opening an average of 2 4* champs per week. The last 7 months I have opened 1 4*.

    Not by any I've seen so far. Since the drop rates were changed after drop rate displays were added to the game, every streamer I've seen that has said anything at all has explicitly mentioned that they have personally noticed the drop rates for 3* and especially 4* champions have improved substantially from the PHC, in rough accordance with the published drop rates.
  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 20,458 Guardian
    Tourganis wrote: »
    The_Unknown wrote: »
    Lysiszero wrote: »
    It's been talked about by the youtubers. People have made charts on drop rates. The odds for a 4* is far lower than the very low percentage of what kabam says it is. I personally saved 100 phc crystals and opened 100 2* champs. A year ago I was opening an average of 2 4* champs per week. The last 7 months I have opened 1 4*.

    You don't seem to understand the math behind the crystals. The crystals aren't dependent events (which means that for every 100 you open, you are guaranteed to get 2 4*), they are completely independent of each other.

    A drop rate would indicate that out of 100 you should get 2 4* and so on. The way to calculate drop rate is the number of times you get a certain thing divided by the ammount of times you do something to try and get it. Ergot 2% = 2 in 100. Surely using math, It cant be indipendant and a drop rate?

    Technically you are correct: a "drop rate" would imply a certain number of drops out of a certain number of openings. But the published drop rates are understood to be drop odds because Kabam has repeatedly stated that the crystal openings are random, and each opening is an independent opening not dependent on previous openings.

    Whoever writes the text for the game has an English literacy issue which isn't confined to just the crystal drop odds panel, but most people would give them a pass here, because the nature of how the crystals work has been well understood for a very long time now.
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