Best Of

There's a story in one of Danny Kahneman's books (The Undoing Project I think) about an experiment he used to run with his econ classes. He would tell the students to write a string 100 H and T on the chalkboard for 100 coin flips that they think represents a fair coin. Then actually flip a coin 100 times and record the results above or below the first 100 "flips". He would then leave the classroom, and then come back when they were done and tell them which one is the real coin and which is their heuristic version.

The way he did it was by looking for long strings of H and T. The one that students thought looked fair would always fail to account for the fact that in 100 flips you were overwhelmingly likely to see long strings of H or T in the true random sample. Randomness is much more clumpy than human heuristics think it should be.

Anyways, the Titan crystal is random.