Blade 5* basic vs premium

moonmebabymoonmebaby Member Posts: 41
edited January 2018 in General Discussion
So...what would be the better option. 2 premium 5* blade crystals or 3 basic 5* blade crystals.

Blade 5* basic vs premium 44 votes

Basic (3 crystals)
22%
Elijah1929HeartlessRomario26BriinaDarkrider05Mohit_7GogetaDreadnoughtBobomanDEADLYPANTS 10 votes
Premium (2 crystals)
77%
OwGssMasterSmokeRagamugginGunnerdanielmathSnakeEyes69BigMoBendyShynight00TillerTheKillerZoddymamJadedSIlverProfessorEmil_LimsonNightCrackerChitlinsKestrelleSungjBUZZdog3000cjs8000BasicChamp 34 votes

Comments

  • OwGssOwGss Member Posts: 82
    Premium (2 crystals)
    20% chance in the two premium vs .02% chance in regular...
  • NinjAlanNinjAlan Member Posts: 358 ★★★
    He's referring to the unit ones I think?
  • NinjAlanNinjAlan Member Posts: 358 ★★★
    jq36a8xqsy99.jpeg
  • ZoddymamZoddymam Member, Content Creators Posts: 362 Content Creator
    edited January 2018
    Premium (2 crystals)
    NinjAlan wrote: »
    He's referring to the unit ones I think?
    dont think so. Blade is in basic 5 star on feb 13. Then on 22nd he is featured. If blade is your goal the featured will give better odds but like any crystal shehulk is waiting etc

  • DNA3000DNA3000 Member, Guardian Posts: 19,658 Guardian
    NinjAlan wrote: »
    jq36a8xqsy99.jpeg

    Assuming the data itself is fairly clean of biases, that suggests that the odds of pulling 4* are about one in eight, and the odds of pulling 5* are about one in 40. That would suggest the odds of pulling 5* are better than the odds of pulling 4* from the PHC, which are closer to one in 100 to 120.

    It could be a coincidence, but these numbers also seem consistent with a 120 entry drop table, just as the PHC numbers seem roughly consistent with a 120 entry drop table. The numbers above seem very consistent with a drop table that looks like this:

    1 - 5* featured (1 entry)
    2-3 - 5* non-featured (2 entries)
    4-7 - 4* featured (4 entries)
    8-18 - 4* non-featured (11 entries)
    19-120 - 3* champion (102 entries)

    The expected percentage distribution from this table would be:

    5* featured - 0.83%
    5* non-featured - 1.67%
    4* featured - 3.33%
    4* non-featured - 9.16%
    3* champion - 85%

    That's a pretty good fit relative to the margin for error. What's interesting to me is my analysis of PHC drops long ago seemed to suggest a 4* champion drop rate from PHCs as closer to one in 120 rather than one in 100. Maybe this is an echo of the PHC drop table.
  • NinjAlanNinjAlan Member Posts: 358 ★★★
    In my very limited experience (monitoring 2 alliances worth of pulls for each featured) this table seems to be extremely accurate
  • moonmebabymoonmebaby Member Posts: 41
    Wow. Great graphic. Thanks guys.
  • TillerTheKillerTillerTheKiller Member Posts: 280 ★★
    Premium (2 crystals)
    Feature
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