Potential Delay to v44.1 Launch
We are currently working through some issues that may affect the release window of v44.1. This means that the update may not release on Monday as it usually does. We are working to resolve the issue holding us up as quickly as possible, but will keep you all updated, especially if the delay results in any changes to the content release schedule.
We are currently working through some issues that may affect the release window of v44.1. This means that the update may not release on Monday as it usually does. We are working to resolve the issue holding us up as quickly as possible, but will keep you all updated, especially if the delay results in any changes to the content release schedule.
Options
Comments
Trying to simplify probability and then apply it to a single person just won’t work in this format.
This is why you should only focus on drop rates, and not compare crystal to crystal...
Dr. Zola
It’s hard to not be skeptical about Kabam’s process when a 3% chance is expressed so differently in certain outcomes. Why 3%? That’s the same chance Black Widow’s evade has as I have pulling a 5* from a fgmc. I have bit of a hard time believing that both 3% chances are weighted evenly. And yes, I understand that each outcome is an independent result, unconnected to any other rng roll. When I pull a 5* champ on 4/12 fgmc rolls (similar to a recent fight I had with BW) I’ll happily leave my doubts behind.
It’s hard not to be skeptical when the stated odds seem to consistently be at odds with reality. Without using a 3rd-party plug-in or at least allowing some insight into the rng engine, Kabam should expect skepticism from their player base. Especially with having a sketchy-sounding exploitative patent that sure does seem to mimic a lot of in-game occurrences.
The RNG with Champs is different, and is programmed into content. It's entirely possible to increase the occurrences in content to match a desired level of challenge. Now, I'm not trying to generate any conspiracy or anything, but it's always been obvious to me that when it comes to harder content, they are more likely to proc more than their indicated percentages. I've had Fights in War, Master, and UC that triggered much, much higher than their suggested Abilities. In many ways, this is necessary because in order for content to provide more challenge, it needs to be stronger. Then there's the AI behavior, which I won't get into because I'm adamantly against varying speeds and reaction times above and beyond what our controls can do, but in terms of the extra procs, I have no issue with that perse. If it's AI, and it's strong, it's going to trigger more, and I've always maintained that, even back when they called me a Heretic for saying it. LOL.
But nearly all of my 4* gems are Cosmic or science...
in other words, the numerical value of 3% of incoming attacks aimed at black widow will be much higher than the # of fgmc's opened. you can compare the percentages of each to themselves, and they will probably be close to 3%, but it would be inaccurate to assume that 3% of each number would be the same, since *that* number will be different. if that makes sense.
as far as 3rd party plug ins for stat purposes alone, not a good idea for obvious reasons and i would suggest just keeping a spreadsheet of your own to track if you are curious.you can pick your own parameters and as long as you don't forget to input any of them you will still have your stats.
There is quite a few possible reasons for the apparent batch like behavior of these pulls like not regenerating the seed for pRNG... But I'm going with Kabam wired in a Bambleweeny 57 Sub-Meson Brain with an Atomic Vector Plotter suspended in a Hot Cup of Tea.
Dr. Zola
There are hundreds of thousands active players every week.
And millions in a month+.
It can be assured some guy on YouTube has no evidence of anything to disprove or prove some RNG bias.
So many people think the universe revolves around them.
I shouldn’t notice any huge difference between BW’s 3% chance to evade and her realized results, but I do. With more chances of seeing her evade, the opposite should occur. Her evade procs should fall in line with her listed odds. Combat rng should behave like prize redemption rng. There should be consistency across the platform in how odds are calculated or realized. A 3% chance during one event should behave like a 3% chance in another event. If there are noticeable discrepancies, Kabam should expect skepticism. And if I could take the 3% chance of BW’s evade and apply that to my next dozen fgmc, I’m pretty sure my roster would be a lot stronger than it is now.
Which is not what you want to get
The other is embedded in content, but is also affected by other things like Nodes, differences in PI, etc. I haven't pinpointed the reason, I had a decent conversation with DNA a long while back about how I hypothesized that it was differences in CR and came to the conclusion that there's nothing about CR that would affect proc. Nevertheless, if AI is stronger than us, and combined with Nodes and other factors in content, it will proc more. Case-in-point, Mordo Act 6. While it may seem unfair, it's their creative prerogative to increase whatever they want in order to provide the challenge they want. I agree that there is a responsibility for Champs in our Roster to perform as intended, but when it comes to content, it can really be whatever they want. Which is really a good thing when you consider how easy it would be if they didn't exceed what's on paper. We all would have been bored long ago, and things wouldn't be as challenging as they are now. Either way, it's probably worth noting that 7% for AI means very little because it will Evade when it wants to.
Dr. Zola